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Jan 2018
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Venue

Austin Convention Center 500 East Cesar Chavez Street Austin , Texas 78701
Tel: (512) 404-4000
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AMS 98th Annual Meeting & WeatherFest - American Meteorological Society

4,000 160

Overview

Event Overview:

The AMS Annual Meeting is the world’s largest yearly gathering for the weather, water, and climate community. It brings together great minds from a diverse set of scientific disciplines – helping attendees make career-long professional contact and life-long friends while learning from the very top people in the atmospheric sciences.

Join fellow scientists, educators, students, and other professionals from across the weather, water, and climate community in Austin, Texas from 7–11 January, 2018 to share, learn, and collaborate.

2018 Theme: "Transforming Communication in the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise"

Communication is a dynamic, powerful, and essential part of the weather, climate, and water enterprise. Successful communication requires active engagement– not only thinking about what, when, where, how, why, and to whom we speak but also carefully listening to better understand and respond appropriately.

The AMS Annual Meeting is host to the largest exhibit program anywhere in the atmospheric, oceanic, and related sciences. Exhibitors come from all over the United States and abroad showcasing a wide range of products, publications, and services.

Exhibitor Information:

Main Hall Exhibitors

Are you a company or organization related to Water, Weather and Climate? Our attendees range from undergraduate students to the top experts in YOUR field – and they want to meet you!

Why exhibit at the 98th AMS Annual Meeting?

  • Participate in the largest trade show for the Atmospheric Sciences
  • Meet your existing customers and potential clients
  • Increase awareness about your company’s/organization’s brand
  • Launch and promote new and existing products and services
  • Recruit students and new employees

Annually, about 4,000 people attend our meetings. Who are they?

  • Scientists
  • Professionals
  • Authors
  • Educators
  • Researchers
  • Students
  • Weather Enthusiasts

Over 100 exhibitors choose to strengthen their marketing power at the AMS Meeting each year. Exhibitor types include:

  • Private Sector
  • Government Agencies
  • Publishers
  • Educational Institutions
  • Associations  

WeatherFest Exhibitors

How do I become an exhibitor at WeatherFest?

It's easy and FREE! 

The AMS is accepting WeatherFest Exhibitor applications on a first-come, first serve basis, until all spaces are filled. AMS will provide exhibitors with an 10’ x 10’ table space for your activity.

We love to have hands-on, interactive experiments and booths by teachers and scientists from K-12 or university, government, television, radio and private industry. Exhibit space is FREE! All you need to do is staff your booth with enthusiastic people who can capture the imagination and inspire children of all ages!

Location

The AMS 17th Annual WeatherFest will take place on Sunday, 7 January 2018 at the Austin Convention Center in Exhibit Hall 1. 

About AMS:

Founded in 1919, the American Meteorological Society (AMS) is the nation’s premier scientific and professional organization promoting and disseminating information about the atmospheric, oceanic, hydrologic sciences. Our more than 13,000 members include scientists, researchers, educators, broadcast meteorologists, students, weather enthusiasts, and other professionals in the fields of weather, water, and climate.

AMS is a 501(c)3 non-profit membership organization, headquartered in the historic Harrison Gray Otis House in Boston’s Beacon Hill neighborhood. We also have an office in Washington, DC, where we run our education and policy programs.

Agenda

Jan 7   

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Student Conference Breakfast

Location: EFG Foyer (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 9

Extreme Weather Events

Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Chair: Aaron K. Scott, University of North Dakota

9:00 AM

Title-TBD

Daniel Reilly, NWS, Dickinson, TX

9:15 AM

Atmospheric Rivers and their Influence on US Precipitation Extremes

Jason Cordeira, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH

9:00 AM-9:45 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 1

Welcome and Networking with Your Peers

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals

Cochairs: Christopher J. Schultz, NASA/MSFC; Irene Sans, WFTV/ClimaData

9:30 AM-9:45 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Student Conference AM Break 1

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Joint Session 2

Developing your Communication Skills Introduction

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; and the 17th Annual Student Conference )

Cochairs: Cody Kirkpatrick, Indiana University; Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami

Keynote: Kerry H. Cook, Univ. of Texas

Facilitators: Betsy Weatherhead, Univ. of Colorado; Michael Ventrice, The Weather Company/IBM; James Caron, Macquarie Group

9:45 AM

Introductory Remarks

9:50 AM

Keynote Speaker Dr. Kerry Cook, UT Austin -- Knowing Your Audience -The importance of tailoring communication to your audience and developing a blueprint to effectively communicate your message.

Rotating Group discussion (three 30 minute rotating sessions, 3 separate Rooms) Rotations: 1015-1045 am, 1045-1115 am, 1115-1145 am

Dr. Betsy Weatherhead, CU Boulder -- Presentation Styles for All Situations - choosing the proper format, content and tone of a presentation for a given setting

Dr. Mike Ventrice, The Weather Company, an IBM Business -- The Choices One Must Make When Writing Effectively - exploring tools for effective writing and the choices one must make throughout the writing process

James Caron – “You’ve Got an Audience, Now Keep Your Audience!” - Maintaining your audience’s interest while giving a presentation.

9:45 AM-10:40 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 10A

Preparing for your future: Navigating Graduate School

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

9:45 AM

Title TBD

10:00 AM

Title TBD.

10:15 AM

Title TBD- Kristen Rasmussen

10:30 AM

Q&A

Session 10B

Building  Professional Relationships

Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

9:45 AM

Shhh, Quiet: An Introvert's Guide to Networking

Rebecca Haacker, NCAR, Boulder, CO

10:00 AM

Going Beyond Just Being 'Social' in the Era of Social Media

Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL

10:15 AM

Getting The Mentor and Mentoring That You Want

Melissa Burt, Significant Opportunities in Atmospheric Research and Science, Millersville, PA

10:30 AM

Q & A

9:45 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Joint Session 1

Essential Skills for Effective Science Communications (Joint Session with Early Career Professionals)

Location: Austin Convention Center and Hilton

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Cochairs: Cody Kirkpatrick, Indiana University; Ryan J. Kramer, University of Miami

9:45 AM

Introductory Remarks with Co-Chairs

Cody Kirkpatrick, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN; and R. J. Kramer

9:50 AM

Keynote Address

Kerry H. Cook, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Joint Session 2A

Presentation Styles for All Situations

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Annual Student Conference; and the Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals )

Speaker: Betsy Weatherhead, Univ. of Colorado

Joint Session 2B

The Choices One Must Make When Writing Effectively

Location: Room 16AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Annual Student Conference; and the Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals )

Speaker: Michael Ventrice, The Weather Company/IBM

 

Joint Session 2C

You've Got an Audience, Now Keep Your Audience!

Location: Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Annual Student Conference; and the Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals )

Speaker: James Caron, Macquarie Group

10:40 AM-10:50 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Student Conference AM Break 2

10:50 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

 

Session 11A

Tools of the Trade

Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Cochairs: Sean W. Freeman, Colorado State Univ.; C. Todd Rhodes, Coastal Carolina Univ.

10:50 AM

Session Introduction

Sean W. Freeman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. T. Rhodes

10:52 AM

Python

Brian E. J. Rose, SUNY, Albany, NY

11:00 AM

Matlab

James M. Kurdzo, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA

11:08 AM

GIS

Matthew J. Taraldsen, Esri, St. Paul, MN

11:16 AM

Web Development

Lori K. Brown, IMSG, College Park, MD

11:24 AM

WRF

11:32 AM

NCL

11:40 AM

Q &A

Session 11B

Social Media and Communication

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Chair: Makenzie Krocak, CIMMS

Speakers: Michael Lowry, National Hurricane Center; Ed Maibach, George Mason Univ.; Jeannette Sutton, Univ. of Kentucky; Marissa Pazos, NOAA/NWS/Weather Forecast Office in El Paso, TX

11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Student Conference AM Break 3

11:45 AM-1:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Conference for Early Career Professionals Lunch Break (On Your Own)

12:00 PM-12:30 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 12

Keynote Speaker

Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Chair: Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State Univ.

Speaker: Katharine Hayhoe, Texas Tech Univ.

12:30 PM-12:35 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session

Closing Remarks and Poster Session Announcements

Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

12:35 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Student Conference Lunch Break (On Your Own)

1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 3

Panel Discussion: Implicit Bias in the Sciences:  Communication Strategies

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals

Chair: Matt Rogers, Commodity Weather Group, LLC

Panelists: Lawrence Locker, Commodity Weather Group, LLC; Karen Naufel, Commodity Weather Group, LLC; Joy Losee, University of Florida; Gregory Webster, University of Florida

1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 4

Conflict Resolution In the Workplace

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals

Chair: Matthew E. Anderson, NOAA/NWS

Facilitators: Kim J. Runk, NOAA/NWS; Susan A. Jasko, California Univ. of Pennsylvania

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 5

Panel Discussion: Future State of Jobs in the Sciences

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals

Chair: Bradford Johnson, Univ. of Georgia

Moderator: Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia

Panelists: Andrea Bleistein, NOAA/NWS; Matt Lanza, Cheniere Energy; Kerrin A. Jeromin, WPEC-TV CBS12; Elisabeth A. Cohen, NOAA/Boulder Labs and Operations

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 13A

Integrated Warning Team II: In Their Rainboots Workshop

Location: Room 16AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Chair: W. Massey Bartolini, SUNY

2:00 PM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 13B

Resume Workshop II: Resume and CV Review

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Chair: Elizabeth Lennartson, University of Iowa

Session 13C

Broadcast Tape Swap

Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Cochairs: C. Todd Rhodes, Coastal Carolina Univ.; Nicholas S. Grondin, University of South Alabama

Session 13D

Writing Workshop

Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Chair: Zoey Rosen, Colorado State Univ.

Speakers: Alex Garcia, KABB-TV; Jeremy L. Shermak, Univ. of Texas

3:00 PM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Session 6

Presidential Coffee Break and Networking with AMS Professionals

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals

Cochairs: Christopher J. Schultz, NASA/MSFC; Matt Rogers, Commodity Weather Group, LLC

Keynote: Roger, M. Wakimoto, University of California, Los Angeles

- Dr. Roger Wakimoto AMS President

- Steve Root - President AWCIA

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Plenary Session 1

18th Presidential Forum: Transforming Communication in the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise—Focusing on Challenges Facing Our Sciences

Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

4:00 PM

PL1.1

Transforming Communication in the Environmental Sciences: Some Thoughts from a Reluctant Participant (Invited Presentation)

Richard B. Alley, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA

6:15 PM-8:15 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Poster Session

Atmospheric Chemistry, Aerosols, and Air Quality

Location: Exhibit Hall 5 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Annual Student Conference

Jan 8   

7:15 AM-8:15 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

How To Become a Better Presenter

Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Side Panels

Organizer: Susan A. Jasko, California Univ. of Pennsylvania

8:45 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Plenary Session 3

Opening Remarks

Host: Eighth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python

Speaker: Scott Collis, ANL

Plenary Session

Welcome

Location: Room 3 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 21st Atmospheric Science Librarians International Conference

Chair: Frederick Stoss, SUNY

8:45 AM-9:30 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

 

Session 1A

Land Surface Conditions and Atmospheric Composition

Location: Room 9 C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry

Chair: Min Huang, George Mason Univ.

8:45 AM

1A.1

Interannual Variability of the Satellite-Observed and WRF-Modeled Soil Moisture in Connection with Dust Events

Min Huang, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and G. R. Carmichael

9:00 AM

1A.2

Vegetation Phenology Contributes to Seasonal Patterns of Isoprene above a Rain Forest in Central Amazonia

Dandan Wei, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. D. Fuentes, T. Gerken, M. Chamecki, A. M. Trowbridge, P. Stoy, G. G. Katul, G. Fisch, O. C. Acevedo, A. O. Manzi, C. von Randow, and R. M. N. Santos

https://ams.confex.com/ams/98Annual/webprogram/images/flag.png

1A.3

Understanding and Modeling Tropical Grasslands Using Remotely Sensed Soil Moisture and Fluorescence

8:45 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Session 1

Cloud-Radiation Interactions of Absorbing Aerosols—Part I

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 10th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions

Cochairs: Paquita Zuidema, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science; Yan Feng, ANL

8:45 AM

1.1

Aerosol Absorption from Biomass Burning in the Near and Far Fields: Model Implications (Invited Presentation)

Arthur J. Sedlacek, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY; and T. Onasch

9:00 AM

1.2

Measurements of Radiation-Induced Condensational Growth of Cloud/Mist Droplets

Quinn Brewster, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and E. McNichols

9:15 AM

1.3

The Impact of Radiation Absorbing Aerosols on the Intensity and Organization of Several Mesoscale Regimes (Invited Presentation)

Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. Bukowski, L. Grant, S. R. Herbener, S. Kawecki, P. J. Marinescu, J. M. Park, and S. M. Saleeby

9:30 AM

1.4

Aerosol–Cloud–PBL Interactions and Impact on the Development of Convective Clouds and Air Quality due to Absorbing Aerosols

Zhanqing Li, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD

Session 1

Emerging Technologies in Atmospheric Dispersion and Air Pollution Modeling

Location: Salon G (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA

Chair: Paul Bieringer, Aeris

8:45 AM

1.1

Development of the Next Generation Air Quality Modeling System

Jonathan E. Pleim, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and R. C. Gilliam, D. Wong, H. Foroutan, J. A. Herwehe, O. R. Bullock Jr., G. A. Pouliot, C. Hogrefe, and L. Ran

9:00 AM

1.2

The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service: Supporting Air Quality Applications Worldwide

Vincent-Henri Peuch, ECMWF, Reading, UK; and R. Engelen

9:15 AM

1.3

Large-Eddy Simulation and Lagrangian Two-Particle Modeling of Mean and Fluctuating Concentrations in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer

Jeffrey Weil, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. P. Sullivan, E. G. Patton, and A. Wyszogrodski

9:30 AM

1.4

Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) Based System for Producing Coupled Urban and Indoor Airborne Contaminant Transport and Dispersion Solutions

Paul Bieringer, Aeris, Louisville, CO; and A. J. Piña, G. Bieberbach Jr., H. J. J. Jonker, and M. Sohn

 

Joint Session 4

Soil Dust I: Lofting, Transport, Characterization, and Interactions with Clouds and Climate

Location: Room 9AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 10th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; and the 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )

Cochairs: Ottmar Möhler, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology; Naruki Hiranuma, West Texas A&M Univ.

8:45 AM

J4.1

Heterogeneous Ice Nucleation of Dusts: Overview of Results from the INUIT Project (Invited Presentation)

Joachim Curtius, Goethe Univ., Frankfurt, Germany; and S. Augustin-Bauditz, H. Bingemer, C. Budke, H. Clemen, K. Diehl, M. Ebert, S. Eriksen Hammer, F. Frank, J. Fröhlich-Nowoisky, S. Grawe, S. Hartmann, N. Hiranuma, K. Höhler, N. Hoffmann, L. B. Hande, C. Hoose, K. Kandler, A. Kiselev, R. Kohl, T. Koop, A. T. Kunert, T. Leisner, S. Mertes, O. Möhler, M. Niemand, U. Pöschl, B. Pummer, N. Reicher, I. Reichardt, D. Rose, Y. Rudich, T. Schiebel, J. Schneider, J. Schrod, I. Steinke, F. Stratmann, M. Szakall, R. Ullrich, B. Weber, D. Weber, S. Weinbruch, H. Wex, and P. Yordanova

9:15 AM

J4.2

A Comprehensive Dataset on the Immersion Freezing Behavior of Cellulose Particles

Naruki Hiranuma, West Texas A&M Univ., Canyon, TX; and K. Adachi, D. Bell, F. Belosi, H. Beydoun, B. Bhaduri, H. Bingemer, C. Budke, F. Conen, K. Cory, J. Curtius, P. J. DeMott, O. Eppers, S. Grawe, S. Hartmann, N. Hoffmann, K. Höhler, D. Imre, E. Jantsch, K. Kandler, A. Kiselev, T. Koop, G. Kulkarni, A. Mayer, O. Möhler, M. Murakami, B. J. Murray, M. D. Petters, M. Piazza, M. Polen, N. Reicher, S. Robrecht, Y. Rudich, A. Saito, T. Schiebel, G. P. Schill, J. Schneider, M. Scott, L. Segev, E. Stopelli, R. C. Sullivan, K. J. Suski, M. Szakall, T. Tajiri, H. Taylor, H. Tekleab, Y. Tobo, D. Weber, H. Wex, T. F. Whale, C. Whiteside, K. Yamashita, A. Zelenyuk, and S. Zorn

9:30 AM

J4.3

How the Emitted Size Distribution and Mixing State of Feldspar Affect the Ice Nucleating Particle Number Concentration in a Global Model

Jan P. Perlwitz, Climate, Aerosol, and Pollution Research, LLC, Bronx, NY; and A. M. Fridlind, D. A. Knopf, R. L. Miller, and C. Pérez García-Pando

8:45 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Session 1

AI Techniques Applied to Environmental Science: Part I

Location: Room 7 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences

Chair: Edwin Campos, Uptake Technologies

8:45 AM

1.1

Real-Time and Climatological Storm Classification Using Machine Learning

Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. Jergensen, C. Karstens, H. Obermeier, and T. Smith

9:00 AM

1.2

Real-Time and Climatological Storm Classification Using Support Vector Machines

Eli Jergensen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern, C. Karstens, H. Obermeier, and T. Smith

9:15 AM

1.3

Examining Atmospheric Drivers of Temperature, Clouds, and Radiation at Summit, Greenland, with Self-Organizing Maps

Michael Gallagher, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Shupe and N. Miller

9:30 AM

1.4

Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling and Air Quality Forecasting Using a Regression Forest Model

Christoph A. Keller, NASA GMAO/USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Evans

9:45 AM

1.5

Reduced Order Modeling for Global Atmospheric Chemistry Simulation Data

Meghana Velegar, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. A. Keller and J. N. Kutz

Session 1

Advances in Data Assimilation

Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Robert Atlas, NOAA/AOML

8:45 AM

1.1

Data Assimilation Develoments at ECMWF (Invited Presentation)

Florence Rabier, ECMWF, Reading, Berkshire, U.K.; and S. English and H. Hersbach

9:15 AM

1.2

Enhancing Data Assimilation of GPM Observations

Takemasa Miyoshi, RIKEN, Kobe, Japan; and S. Kotsuki, K. Terasaki, K. Kondo, G. Y. Lien, K. Kurosawa, M. Satoh, H. Tomita, and E. Kalnay

9:30 AM

1.3

Adopting NCEP’s Hybrid 4DEnVar Data Assimilation System to the FV3GFS

Rahul Mahajan, EMC, College Park, MD; and D. T. Kleist, C. Thomas, J. S. Whitaker, and R. Treadon

9:45 AM

1.4

High-Resolution Ocean Prediction with the NCOM 4DVAR

Scott R. Smith, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and J. M. D'Addezio, H. E. Ngodock, M. J. Carrier, I. Souopgui, J. J. Osborne, G. Jacobs, B. Newman, and K. Moore

 

Session 1

Assessing or Mitigating Weather Observation Uncertainty

Location: Room 16AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium

Cochairs: Michael Robinson, MITRE Corporation; Gordon Brooks, 557th Weather Wing

8:45 AM

1.1

The Role of Observation Uncertainty in the Verification of Global Forecasts of Convective Hazards

Laura Melling, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and A. Laing, M. S. Wandishin, and M. A. Petty

9:00 AM

1.2

EDR/RMS-G Correlation Analysis

Michael J. Emanuel, FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and G. Meymaris, L. Cornman, J. Sherry, and D. Mulally

9:15 AM

1.3

The Geographical Distribution of Downburst Frequency Across Spaceport Florida

Tania M. Garza, Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT), Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, OH; and O. A. Nava and W. P. Roeder

9:30 AM

1.4

Resolving Gravity Waves with Himawari-8 and GOES-16 Imagery at the New Limit of Resolution and the Application to Aircraft-Scale Turbulence

Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and S. M. Griffin, A. S. Bachmeier, J. Gerth, and S. Lindstrom

9:45 AM

1.5

On the Interpolation of Three-Dimensional Radar Observations to Flight Levels

Heather D. Reeves, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

Session 1

BSISO and Monsoon Variability

Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability

Cochairs: Scott W. Powell, Colorado State Univ.; Da Yang, Univ. of California

8:45 AM

1.1

Observations and Modelling of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation during the Bay of Bengal Boundary-Layer Experiment (BoBBLE)

Nicholas P. Klingaman, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom; and S. C. Peatman, A. J. Matthews, and P. N. Vinayachandran

9:00 AM

1.2

Coupled Simulations of the 2016 Summer BSISO Event over the Maritime Continent

Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel, C. Y. Lee, J. Pullen, and J. Nie

9:15 AM

1.3

Physical Mechanisms Associated with the Propagation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO)

Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and C. R. Densmore, E. R. Sanabia, and P. Ray

9:30 AM

1.4

Role of North Indian Ocean Air–Sea Interaction in Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation

Lei Zhang, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. Han, Y. Li, and E. D. Maloney

9:45 AM

1.5

Investigating the Tropical Coastal Convection Systems Using Cloud Resolving Simulations and Satellite Observation

Wei-Ting Chen, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. M. Wu, W. M. Tsai, and P. J. Chen

Session 1

Better Communication through Social Media

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation

Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.

8:45 AM

1.1

Words Matter: Social Media Comes of Age as Disaster Strikes

Gregory Romano, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

9:00 AM

1.2

Using Video to Communicate Weather Hazards

Tim Brice, NOAA/NWS/Weather Forecast Office in El Paso, TX, Santa Teresa, NM; and J. Laney and C. Dennhardt

9:15 AM

1.3

A Weather-Ready Nation Success Story in Social Media Engagement: #SafePlaceSelfie

Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and T. Boucher, M. Barry, and C. Pieper

9:30 AM

1.4

Name Our Storms: Improving Communication of Severe Weather in the UK

Dee Cotgrove, Met Office, Exeter, UK

9:45 AM

1.5

Communicating Impactful Weather across the U.S./Mexico Border using Social Media

Jason Laney, NOAA/NWS/Weather Forecast Office in El Paso, TX, Santa Teresa, NM; and T. Brice and M. Pazos

Joint Session 1

Bob's Legacy and TV Weather History

Location: Ballroom B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the Robert T. Ryan Symposium; and the 46th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology )

Chair: Joe Murgo, WTAJ-TV

8:45 AM

J1.1

One Amazing Career and the Growth of a Discipline: How Bob Ryan and Weathercasting Coevolved

Robert Henson, Weather Underground, Boulder, CO

9:00 AM

J1.2

Creating the Nation's First TV Weather Website—WeatherNet4

Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc., Halethorpe, MD

9:15 AM

J1.3

Bob Ryan and the History of the Earth Networks Weather Network

Mark Hoekzema, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD

9:30 AM

J1.4

Technological and Scientific Advances Applied to Broadcast Meteorology (1975–2017)

Jim Gandy, WLTX-TV, Columbia, SC

9:45 AM

J1.5

Five Years of NASA Earth-Science Outreach with 2,000 TV Meteorologists

Joe Witte, JPL, Pasadena, CA

Session 1

Community Global Modeling: Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) and beyond: Improvements in Global Models, Key Components of Global Models and Statistical Techniques to Evaluate Those Improvements—Part I

Location: Room 14 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Eighth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations

Cochairs: Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/EMC/Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch; Betsy Weatherhead, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD

8:45 AM

1.1

The Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) Program Update

Fred Toepfer, NOAA/Office of Science and Technology Integration, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Tolman, T. L. Schneider, I. Stajner, and S. Warren

9:00 AM

1.2

Global Model Test Bed: Fostering Community Involvement in NOAA's Next-Generation Global Prediction System

Ligia Bernardet, ESRL/GSD and Univ. of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Firl, L. Nance, B. Kuo, V. Tallapragada, M. Farrar, F. Toepfer, and G. Grell

9:15 AM

1.3

Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) Development and Operational Implementation Strategies at NCEP: Role of Community Research Transition to Operations

Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/EMC/Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch, College Park, MD

9:30 AM

1.4

Implementation and Evaluation of the NOAA Next Generation Global Prediction System with FV3 Dynamical Core and Advanced Physics

Fanglin Yang, NOAA, College Park, MD; and V. Tallapragada

9:45 AM

1.5

Integrating Unified Gravity Wave Physics Research into the Next Generation Global Prediction System for NCEP Research to Operations

Jordan C. Alpert, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and V. Yudin, T. Fuller-Rowell, and R. A. Akmaev

Session 1

Creating and Communicating Medium- to Long-Term Forecasts and Uncertainty in the Coastal Environment

Location: Room 12B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 16th Symposium on the Coastal Environment

Cochairs: Nickitas Georgas, Stevens Institute of Technology; Chester Huang, Department of the Interior

8:45 AM

1.1

Forecasting Seasonal Sea Level Changes for Pacific Islands

Matthew J. Widlansky, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. A. Merrifield, P. R. Thompson, H. Annamalai, and J. J. Marra

9:00 AM

1.2

Development of the NWS’ Probabilistic Extratropical Storm Surge Model and Postprocessing Methodology

Huiqing Liu, NOAA/NWS/Office of Scientific and Technical Information/Meteorological Development Laboratory/DSB, Silver Spring, MD; and A. A. Taylor

9:15 AM

1.3

Probabilistic Track Generation for Hurricane Storm Surge Estimates

Jessica L Smith, Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and B. Blanton and R. Luettich

9:30 AM

1.4

Long-Range Forecasting of Marine Advection Fog along the U.S. Gulf Coast

Derek Ortt, StormGeo, Houston, TX; and C. Hebert and J. Basciani

9:45 AM

1.5

NOAA’s High Tide Bulletin and the Prediction of High Tide Flooding

Gregory Dusek, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Sweet and C. Barry

 

Panel Discussion 1

Defining User Needs for Water Prediction Priority Products and Services Using Social Science

Location: Room 6B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Moderator: Mary G. Mullusky, NOAA/NWS

Panelists: Peter Colohan, Executive Office of the President; Arleen O'Donnell, Eastern Research Group

8:45 AM

PD1.1

Defining User Needs for Water Prediction Priority Products and Services Using Social Science

Mary G. Mullusky, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and P. Colohan and A. O'Donnell

Session 1

Ensemble and Multimodel Forecasting. Part I: Representation of Model Uncertainty

Location: Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics

Cochairs: Elizabeth A. Satterfield, NRL; Daniel Hodyss, NRL

8:45 AM

1.1

Evaluation of Stochastic Perturbed Parameterization Tendencies on Convective-Resolving Ensemble Forecasts of Heavy Rainfall Events in New York and Taiwan

Kevin Lupo, SUNY/Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and S. C. Yang and R. Torn

9:00 AM

1.2

Introducing Land Surface Perturbations in the Global Ensemble Forecast System

Maria Gehne, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill, G. Bates, W. Kolczynski Jr., and P. Pegion

9:15 AM

1.3

Preliminary Testing of Stochastic Physics Schemes for the Next Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) Implementation

Bing Fu, NCEP, College Park, MD; and X. Zhou, D. Hou, W. Kolczynski Jr., P. J. Pegion, and Y. Zhu

9:30 AM

1.4

Parameterizing Model Uncertainty due to Unresolved Dynamics in Ensemble Forecasts (Invited Presentation)

Jeffrey Whitaker, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO

 

Session 1

Historical Weather and Climate Events, Forecasting, and Public Communication and Impacts—Part I

Location: Room 2 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 16th History Symposium

Chair: Lourdes B. Avilés, Plymouth State Univ.

8:45 AM

1.1

An Unintended Case Study of the Side Effects of Sharing Historical Research with the General Public and Others: An 80th Anniversary Update to the Story of the Great New England Hurricane of 1938

Lourdes B. Avilés, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH

9:00 AM

1.2

Modern Analysis of Precipitation Patterns Associated with the Great New England Hurricane

Lauren Carter, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH

9:15 AM

1.3

The Origin of the "Fujiwhara Effect": The Typhoons that Postponed the End of World War II

Akira Yamamoto, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

9:30 AM

1.4

Record High Plains Snow Events often after April 1

Richard Berler, KGNS TV, Laredo, TX

9:45 AM

1.5

A Preliminary Study of Meteorological Drought Influences to Social Events over the Maritime Continent during the Last Millennium

Sandy Hardian Susanto Herho, Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, Indonesia; and M. R. Syahputra and R. Suwarman

Session 1

Hope is Not a Plan:  Communication for Community Resilience

Location: Room 5ABC (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise

Chair: Thomas Bedard, National Disaster Preparedness Training Center

8:45 AM

1.1

Its the Relationship, Not the Weather

Rebecca Moulton, FEMA, Washington, DC

9:00 AM

1.2

Weather Alerts and Emergency Management—Are We Crying Wolf?

Eric Frank, Clark Regional Emergency Services Agency, Vancouver, WA

9:15 AM

1.3

Changing the Perception of Weather Information to Promote Being Storm Ready

Felix Nance, City of Hominy, Hominy, OK

9:30 AM

1.4

Walmart: Preparedness, Response, and Recovery in Disasters in 2017

Lucas McDonald,

9:45 AM

1.5

Safe at Home: Communicating Weather Risk at Outdoor Venues

Kevin A. Kloesel, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

Session 1

Hydrometeorological Extremes for Hydrologic Design

Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology

Cochairs: Kathleen D. Holman, Department of the Interior; Victoria Bahls, MetStat, Inc.; Charles D. McWilliams, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

8:45 AM

1.1

Developing Updated PMP Estimates for the Third and Fifth Largest Reservoirs in the United States

Charles D. McWilliams, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Omaha, NE; and C. Pathak

9:00 AM

1.2

Application of Reanalysis Datasets in Hydrologic Modeling for Dam Safety: A Novel Approach to Storm Transpositioning

Raymond Caldwell, MetStat, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. W. Parzybok and M. Schaefer

9:15 AM

1.3

Accounting for Uncertainties in NOAA Atlas 14 Precipitation Frequency Estimates

Sanja Perica, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Pavlovic, M. St. Laurent, C. Trypaluk, D. Unruh, and O. Wilhite

9:30 AM

1.4

Precipitation Frequency Analysis over Complex Terrain Using the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh

Trevor Alcott, OAR, Boulder, CO; and E. P. James, K. Mahoney, and R. Cifelli

9:45 AM

1.5

Precipitation Frequency Analysis in Regions of Complex Topography

Kathleen Holman, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and A. Verdin, D. P. Keeney, and J. Kanney

Session 1

Innovations in Climate and Health Education

Location: Room 17B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Ninth Conference on Environment and Health

Cochairs: Kim Knowlton, Natural Resources Defense Council; John Balbus, National Institute of Health

8:45 AM

1.1

Helping Healers Heal the World: Materials and Methods to Help Health Professionals Understand Climate and Health Connections

John Balbus, National Institute of Health, Bethesda, MD; and C. Sorensen

9:00 AM

1.2

Engaging GLOBE Students in Data Collection for Environment and Health

Julie S. Malmberg, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Moore and R. Low

9:15 AM

1.3

Global Climate and Health Education for Health Professionals

Kim Knowlton, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and B. Shea and J. Shaman

9:30 AM

1.4

Real-Time Climate Information for Decision-Making in Health for Africa

Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD

9:45 AM

Discussion

 

Session 1

Major Impacts of 2017 - Drought/Wildfire

Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2017

Chair: Klaus Wolter, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado

8:45 AM

1.1

2017 US Northern Plains Drought

Laura Edwards, State of South Dakota, Aberdeen, SD; and T. Fransen and D. Kluck

9:00 AM

1.2

The 2017 Wildfire Season: 420,002,017th year of biomass burning on Earth (Invited Presentation)

Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV

9:15 AM

1.3

Meteorological Observations and Review of the Gatlinburg Wildfire

Matthew E. Anderson, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN; and A. Pritchett

9:30 AM

1.4

The 6 March 2017 Southern Great Plains Firestorm: Operational Preparedness and Fire Environment Perspectives

Barry R. Bowers, NOAA/NWSFO, Norman, OK; and T. T. Lindley, G. P. Murdoch, B. R. Smith, and D. Daily

9:45 AM

1.5

Environmental and Social factors that led to the October 2017 Northern California Firestorm (Invited Presentation)

Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV

 

Session 1

New Projects and Opportunities for Renewable Energy Research

Location: Room 15 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Ninth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

Chair: Jeff Freedman, AWS TruePower LLC

8:45 AM

1.1

Meteorology Research in DOE’s Atmosphere to Electrons (A2e) Program

Joel W. Cline, DOE, Washington, DC; and W. J. Shaw and S. Haupt

9:00 AM

1.2

The U.S. DOE Mesoscale to Microscale Coupling Project: Extending Boundary Layer Flow Simulation to Complex Environments

Jeffrey D. Mirocha, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA; and S. E. Haupt

9:15 AM

1.3

The WindForS Complex Terrain Wind Energy Test Site in Southern Germany

Andrew Clifton, WindForS Wind Energy Research Cluster, Stuttgart, Germany

9:30 AM

1.4

Validation of a 14-year High-Resolution WRF Dataset for Wind Resource Assessment over Alaska

Jared A. Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Xue, A. J. Newman, A. J. Monaghan, P. Doubrawa, C. Draxl, L. Kilcher, and G. Scott

9:45 AM

1.5

Five-Year Continental and Offshore Unified Wind and Solar Dataset from the Experimental HRRR Model: Preliminary Verification and Dataset Uses

Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin and M. Marquis

 

Session 1

Observational Platforms for Space Weather—Part I

Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather

Chair: Robert M. Robinson, Inspace

8:45 AM

1.1

Fundmental Challenges in Space Weather of the Ionosphere Thermosphere System

Larry J. Paxton, Johns Hopkins Univ. Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD; and E. Miller

9:00 AM

1.2

The Space Weather Forecast Testbed (SWFT) as a Community Resource to Advance Understanding of Space Weather Forecast

Anthony J. Mannucci, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and C. Wang, X. Meng, O. P. Verkhoglyadova, B. T. Tsurutani, G. Rosen, E. M. Lynch, and A. S. Sharma

9:15 AM

1.3

Ionospheric Remote Sensing Using GPS Radio Occultation and Ultraviolet Photometry Aboard the ISS

Scott A. Budzien, NRL, Washington, DC; and A. W. Stephan, C. Coker, S. P. Powell, B. O'Hanlon, T. E. Humphreys, R. L. Bishop, J. Gross, and S. Chakrabarti

9:30 AM

1.4

Space Weather Resources Available through the American Chain of Incoherent Scatter Radars

Anthea Coster, MIT, Westford, MA; and P. J. Erickson, R. Varney, E. Kendall, D. L. Hysell, M. Milla, and C. Brum

9:45 AM

1.5

Airborne Platforms Providing Space Weather Measurements Help Decipher the Radiation Environment

W. Kent Tobiska, Space Environment Technologies, Pacific Palisades, CA

Session 1

Transforming Communication through Co-Production of Knowledge

Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Cochairs: Renee McPherson, Univ. of Oklahoma; Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario

8:45 AM

1.1

Public and Private Sector Roles in the Co-Production of Climate Decision Support Tools for Agriculture

Tonya Haigh, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and J. Klink and A. S. Mase

9:00 AM

1.2

Identifying Users, Diagnosing Understandability Challenges, and Developing Prototype Solutions for NOAA Climate Prediction Center's Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks

Melissa A. Kenney, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. D. Gerst, A. E. Baer, A. Speciale, D. DeWitt, J. Gottschalck, and S. Handel

9:15 AM

1.3

Assessing User Needs and Model Accuracy of Seasonal Climate Forecasts for Winter Wheat Producers in the Southern Great Plains

Toni Klemm, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson

9:30 AM

1.4

Co-Production and Fragmentation: How Stakeholder Engagement Evolved in the Study of Drought and the Environment along the Rio Grande/Bravo

Jack R. Friedman, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Paladino

9:45 AM

1.5

Bridging the Climate Information Usability Gap in Agricultural Communities

Alissa White, Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT

Session 1

Using Alternative Presentation Formats to Inform Your Audience

Location: Ballroom C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 27th Symposium on Education

Cochairs: Reginald Blake, New York City College of Technology; Danny E. Mattox, University of Oklahoma

8:45 AM

1.1

Communicating New Satellite Technologies through the Use of Blogs

Scott Lindstrom, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Bachmeier and T. J. Schmit

9:00 AM

1.2

Thinking Globally: Enhancing Learning with NOAA Earth System Data Visualization Tools—SOS, SOSx, NOAA View

Elizabeth L. Russell, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and C. McDougall, H. Peddicord, and D. P. Pisut

9:15 AM

1.3

A Textbook Case of Going Virtual

John A. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and S. Ackerman and T. Whittaker

9:30 AM

1.4

Updates to the "Modtran Infrared Light in the Atmosphere" Website

Douglas Pease, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and D. Archer

9:45 AM

1.5

Using Emerging Technologies to Reach Underserved Areas of the Community

Erik M. Heden, NOAA, Newport, NC

 

Session 1A

Aerosols, Clouds, and Climate 

Location: Salon F (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ.; Geeta G. Persad, Carnegie Institution for Science

8:45 AM

1A.1

Aerosol Impact on Seasonal Prediction Using FIM-Chem-iHYCOM Coupled Model

Shan Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. Grell and L. Zhang

9:00 AM

1A.2

Constraining Aerosol Forcing from the Land Surface Temperature Record

Zhaoyi Shen, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and Y. Ming and I. M. Held

9:15 AM

1A.3

The Influence of Emission Location on the Magnitude and Spatial Distribution of Aerosols' Climate Effects

Geeta G. Persad, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA; and K. Caldeira

9:30 AM

1A.4

Regional Fingerprints and Energy Budget Analysis of Southern Hemispheric Warming

Kwang-Yul Kim, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)

9:45 AM

1A.5

Aerosol vs. Greenhouse Gas Influences on Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity and the Hydrologic Cycle

Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo, K. A. Emanuel, and M. Previdi

 

Session 1A

Quasi-Operational Products You Can Use Now, Part I

Location: Room 17A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies

Cochairs: Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD; Kevin Kelleher, ESRL; Tiffany C. Vance, NOAA

8:45 AM

1A.1

Hazard Services: Progress Report

Tracy Lee Hansen, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and C. Golden, Y. Guo, N. Hardin, T. J. LeFebvre, J. L. Mahoney, K. L. Manross, S. Murphy, D. Nietfeld, E. Polster, J. E. Ramer, G. J. Wade, J. Wakefield, S. Williams, and S. Zhuo

9:00 AM

1A.2

Hazard Services: Utilizing Recommenders to Create Hazardous Information

Nathan Hardin, CIRA, Boulder, CO; and D. Nietfeld, T. L. Hansen, and Y. Guo

9:15 AM

1A.3

Evaluation of a Machine-Learning Model for the Prediction of Heavy and Extreme Rainfall

Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and G. R. Herman, D. R. Stovern, S. Perfater, and B. Albright

9:30 AM

1A.4

Advances in Using Random Forests to Forecast Heavy Precipitation and Flash Floods

Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

9:45 AM

1A.5

The Weather Archived and Visualization Environment (WAVE)

Bill Rasch, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA; and T. Wilson, J. Q. Stewart, R. Walsh, and D. Nietfeld

Session 1B

Decadal–Multidecadal Variability (Predictability) in the Atlantic 

Location: 616 AB (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: R. Saravanan, Texas A&M Univ.; Pedro DiNezio, Univ. of Texas

8:45 AM

1B.1

Loosening the AMOC's Grip on the Atlantic Climate (Invited Presentation)

Amy Clement, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. Lozier and M. Cane

9:00 AM

1B.2

The Atlantic Multidecadal Variability: Mechanism, Predictability, and Associated Impact on Hurricane Activity (Invited Presentation)

Rong Zhang, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

9:15 AM

1B.3

Decadal Variability and Predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation

Rosie Eade, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; and A. A. Scaife, D. M. Smith, and H. L. Ren

https://ams.confex.com/ams/98Annual/webprogram/images/flag.png

1B.4

Patterns of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and Hurricane Intensity Change Along the U.S. Coast

9:30 AM

1B.4A

Multidecadal Changes of the South Atlantic Ocean Angola–Benguela Front

Edward K. Vizy, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook

9:45 AM

1B.5

Long-Range Dependence in Millennial-Scale Climate Models

James Franke, Univ. of Chicago, Chicago, IL; and M. L. Stein, M. Haugen, and E. Moyer

 

Session 1B

Measurement and Modeling of Atmospheric Ammonia—Part I

Location: Room 18CD (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry

Cochairs: J. X. Warner, Univ. of Maryland; Jeffrey L. Collett Jr., Colorado State Univ.

8:45 AM

1B.1

The Atmospheric Chemistry and Canopy Exchange Simulation System for Ammonia (ACCESS-NH3): Formulation and Application to Measurements from a Deciduous Forest Canopy

Rick Saylor, NOAA, Oak Ridge, TN; and Z. Wu, J. T. Walker Jr., X. Chen, D. B. Schwede, and A. C. Oishi

9:00 AM

1B.2

Modeling Atmospheric Ammonia in Summer Arctic

Wanmin Gong, EC, Downsview, Canada; and S. R. Beagley, C. Whaley, J. Zhang, G. Wentworth, and J. G. Murphy

9:15 AM

1B.3

Quantifying Emissions of NH3 and NOx from Agricultural Sources and Biomass Burning Using SOF

N. Kille, Univ. of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO; and B. Dix and R. Volkamer

9:30 AM

1B.4

A Comparison of Satellite-Retrieved, Modeled, and Measured NH3/CO Ratios in Biomass Burning Plumes

Dale J. Allen, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. E. Pickering, J. X. Warner, L. D. Oman, S. A. Strode, R. R. Dickerson, and Z. Wei

9:45 AM

1B.5

Source Apportionment, Spatiotemporal Variations of Atmospheric Ammonia in China: Focus on Severe Haze Episodes in Urban Beijing

Yuepeng Pan, AES, Beijing, China

Session 1B

Services Update

Location: Room 10AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies

Cochairs: Randall Bass, FAA; Scott Jacobs, NOAA/NWS

8:45 AM

1B.1

U.S. Air Force Weather Service Update

Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force, Washington, DC

9:00 AM

1B.2

Navy Update—Commander Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command/Oceanographer of the Navy

John Okon, Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command and Oceanographer of the Navy, Stennis Space Center, MS; and D. McCarren

9:15 AM

1B.3

FAA Update

M. Pat Murphy, FAA, Washington, DC

9:30 AM

1B.4

NWS Update

Louis Uccellini, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, MD

9:45 AM

Discussion

 

Joint Session 2

Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture

Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )

Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Danielle Wood, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Margaret M. Hurwitz, Science Systems and Applications, Inc.; Bradley Doorn, NASA

8:45 AM

J2.1

Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture (Invited Presentation)

Debra Peters, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Las Cruces, NM; and A. Bartuska and R. Tetrault

9:00 AM

J2.2

Enhancing Famine Early Warning Systems with Improved Forecasts, Satellite Observations, and Hydrologic Simulations (Invited Presentation)

Chris C. Funk, USGS, Santa Barbara, CA; and J. P. Verdin, W. M. Thiaw, A. Hoell, S. Shukla, A. McNally, G. Galu, N. S. Novella, D. Korecha, K. R. Arsenault, M. Robjohn, J. Rowland, M. Budde, C. Peters-Lidard, T. Magadzire, E. Bekele, L. S. Harrison, P. Peterson, C.

Jan 9   

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

 

Session 1

Overview of Peter Webster's Contributions (Invited Presentation)

Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium

Chair: Chidong Zhang, PMEL

8:30 AM

1.1

Peter Webster’s Contributions to Theory, Observations, and Practice of Tropical and Monsoon Meteorology.

Robert A. Houze Jr., Univ. of Washington/PNNL, Seattle, WA

 

Plenary Session

Social Gathering

Location: Room 3 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 21st Atmospheric Science Librarians International Conference

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

 

Session 1

Advances in Software Environments and Tools for Exploiting High Performance Computing (HPC)

Location: Room 10C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Fourth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate

Chair: Gerald J. Creager, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL

CoChair: Timothy S. Sliwinski, Texas Tech Univ.

8:30 AM

1.1

Experiences in Using Modern Fortran to Apply Object-Oriented Design Methods to Numerical Weather Prediction Codes: A Case Study

Christopher W. Harrop, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and B. J. Etherton and M. W. Govett

8:45 AM

1.2

Accelerating the GFDL Climate Model for the Knights Landing Next-Generation Architecture

Christopher Dupuis, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

9:00 AM

1.3

Cloud-Enabled Large-Scale Land Surface Model Simulations with the NASA Land Information System

Daniel Duffy, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Vaughan, M. Clark, C. Peters-Lidard, B. Nijssen, G. S. Nearing, S. Kumar, S. Rheingrover, and J. Geiger

9:15 AM

1.4

Performance Analysis and Optimization of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) Advection Schemes

Negin Sobhani, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Del Vento

 

Session 1

Core Science Talk Reviewing the State of the Art of Cloud Seeding

Location: Room 16AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 21st Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Chair: Roy Rasmussen, NCAR

8:30 AM

1.1

Present Status of Precipitation Enhancement Research

Masataka Murakami, Nagoya Univ., Nagoya, Japan

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

 

Session 4B

ENSO Dynamics, Diversity, Prediction, and Impacts—Part II

Location: 616 AB (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: R. Saravanan, Texas A&M Univ.; Jin-Yi Yu, Univ. of California

8:30 AM

4B.1

The South Pacific Meridional Mode and Its Role in the Tropical Pacific Interannual-to-Decadal Variability: Observations and Models

Yujia You, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. C. Furtado

8:45 AM

4B.2

Evolving Impacts of Multiyear La Niña Events on Atmospheric Circulation and U.S. Drought

Yuko M. Okumura, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and P. DiNezio and C. Deser

9:00 AM

4B.3

Factors Determining the Asymmetry of ENSO 

De-Zheng Sun, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. Liang and X. Q. Yang

9:15 AM

4B.4

A Hierarchy of Models for ENSO Diversity in Past, Present, and Future

Christina Karamperidou, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and K. Takahashi, B. Dewitte, and R. Xie

9:30 AM

4B.5

What Ontrols the Duration of El Niño and La Niña Events?

Xian Wu, ; and Y. M. Okumura and P. DiNezio

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

 

Session 1

Best Practices (from across the Weather Enterprise)

Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Special Symposium on Impact-Based Decision Support Services

Chair: Clark Evans, Univ. of Wisconsin

8:30 AM

1.1

IDSS: Where We Stand and What Lies before Us (Core Science Keynote)

Susan A. Jasko, California Univ. of Pennsylvania, California, PA

9:00 AM

1.2

Warning Received: The Use of Weather Warning Tools in Impact-Based Decision Support Services

Laura Myers, Univ. of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and T. L. Brown, S. A. Jasko, and S. Gallman

9:15 AM

1.3

Implementation of the WFO Tulsa Vision for Local Impact-Based Decision Support Services

Karen Hatfield, NOAA/NWSFO, Tulsa, OK; and S. F. Piltz, E. J. Calianese Jr., J. M. Frederick, J. B. McGavock, and M. E. Plate

9:30 AM

1.4

Optimizing Confidence Messaging in Decision Support Services

Todd P. Barron, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL

9:45 AM

1.5

Multihazard Impact-Based Alerts via Cell Broadcast in New Zealand: Targeted Short Messages for Promoting Effective Responses

Sally Potter, GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand; and K. Fenaughty, G. S. Leonard, T. Farmer, K. Maxwell, M. Soljak, G. Treadgold, and K. Wright

 

Session 1

Convection Initiation

Location: Room 6A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: A Special Symposium on Plains Elevated Convection At Night (PECAN)

CoChair: Brian J. Carroll, Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore County

8:30 AM

1.1

A Study of the Impact of PECAN Field Campaign Observations on the Numerical Prediction of Nocturnal Convection Initiation using a GSI-Based Ensemble Data Assimilation System

Samuel K. Degelia, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang and D. J. Stensrud

8:45 AM

1.2

Radar Rainfall Statistics during PECAN

Tammy M. Weckwerth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and U. Romatschke

9:00 AM

1.3

Mesoscale Ascent in Nocturnal Low-Level Jets

Alan Shapiro, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. Fedorovich and J. Gebauer

9:15 AM

1.4

Convection Initiation along the Outflow Boundary of the 15 July 2015 Nocturnal MCS in Western Kansas

Coltin D. Grasmick, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and B. Geerts

9:30 AM

1.5

Physical Processes Influencing Elevated Convection Initiation during 25–26 June PECAN: Observations and Numerical Simulations

Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Roberts, J. Sun, T. M. Weckwerth, and J. W. Wilson

9:45 AM

1.6

Physical Processes Leading to Elevated Convection Initiation during 25–26 June PECAN: Convective-Scale Reanalysis Based on a Radar Data Assimilation System

Juanzhen Sun, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. B. Trier

 

Themed Joint Session 1

Development and Communication of High-Resolution, Ensemble Forecast Information for Forecasting Extreme Weather

Location: Room 5ABC (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; and the 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics )

Chair: Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS

8:30 AM

TJ1.1

Application of a Convection-Permitting Ensemble Prediction System in Southern China: Preliminary Results of QPF during SCMREX

Xubin ZHANG, Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou, China

8:45 AM

TJ1.2

Development of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble (HRRRE) toward an Operational Convective-Allowing Ensemble Data Assimilation and Forecast System

Therese T. Ladwig, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell, C. R. Alexander, M. Hu, J. Beck, I. Jankov, T. Alcott, B. D. Jamison, J. A. Hamilton, J. M. Brown, S. S. Weygandt, and S. G. Benjamin

9:00 AM

TJ1.3

Incorporating Time of UH Occurrence in the Generation of Ensemble-Derived Tornado Probabilities

Burkely T. Gallo, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, B. T. Smith, R. L. Thompson, I. L. Jirak, and S. R. Dembek

9:15 AM

TJ1.4

NWS Forecasters’ Interpretations, Uses, and Needs Regarding High-Resolution, Ensemble-Based Guidance

Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Morss, I. Jankov, C. R. Alexander, T. Alcott, D. Nietfeld, and T. Jensen

9:30 AM

TJ1.5

Thorough Probabilistic Verification of Storm Prediction Center Forecasts

Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. R. Nielsen and R. S. Schumacher

9:45 AM

Discussion

 

Session 1

Forecasting and Weather Observing

Location: Ballroom B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 46th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology

Chair: Doug Heady, KOAM-TV

8:30 AM

Welcoming Remarks

8:45 AM

1.1

A Preliminary Exploration of Human Environmental Perception: Observed Rainfall Rates

Matthew J. Bolton, Saint Leo Univ., Saint Leo, FL; and H. M. Mogil, L. K. Ault, and G. T. Harvey

9:00 AM

1.2

Advances in Storm Surge Modeling, Forecasting, and Warnings: An Update on NOAA's Efforts to Improve Storm Surge Awareness and Prediction

Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and C. L. Fritz, T. Trogdon, L. Paulik, W. Booth, T. Sharon, E. Gibney, M. Lowry, and P. J. Manougian

9:15 AM

1.3

An Improvement in Forecasting Low and Convective Clouds for Broadcast

J.P. Kalb, Santa Clara, CA

9:30 AM

1.4

A Decade of New England Tornadoes

Matthew Cappucci, Harvard Univ., Plymouth, MA

 

Panel Discussion 1

Next Steps in Space Weather Research and Forecasting

Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather

Chair: Richard A. Behnke, Retired

Moderator: William J. Murtagh, NOAA

Panelists: Steven Clarke, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Louis Uccellini, NOAA/NWS; Paul Shepson, NSF; Elsayed Talaat, NASA; Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force; Kenyetta Blunt, FEMA

 

Themed Joint Session 2

Television Meteorologists as Educators

Location: Ballroom C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Symposium on Education; and the 46th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology )

Cochairs: Jon Nese, Pennsylvania State University; Cheryl Nelson, Cummins Inc. and WTKR-TV

8:30 AM

TJ2.1

The Scientific Method Isn't Just for Scientists

Gregory Fishel, WRAL-TV, Raleigh, NC

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TJ2.2

Climate Matters: Tools for Broadcast Meteorologists to Communicate Climate Change On The Air, Online, and in Public Outreach

9:15 AM

TJ2.3

Educating Television Viewers About Uncertainty

Jon M. Nese, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA

9:30 AM

TJ2.4

Media Meteorology at NC State: A Different Approach to Educating Future Broadcast Meteorologists

Nathan S. Johnson, WRAL-TV, Raleigh, NC

9:45 AM

TJ2.5

Creating Weather Labs to Increase Your Station Scientist Value

D. James Siebert, KRIV FOX 26 Houston, Houston, TX

 

Session 3

Aerosol Deep Convection Interaction

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 10th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions

Chair: Adele L. Igel, Univ. of California

8:30 AM

3.1

Aerosol–Convection Covariability: Results from Field Campaigns and Model Ensembles

Derek J. Posselt, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. S. Reid, J. Bukowski, R. L. Storer, and F. He

8:45 AM

3.2

Comparing the Aerosol Impacts on Deep Convective Updraft Characteristics in Two Cloud-Resolving Models

Peter J. Marinescu, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. White, M. Heikenfeld, S. C. van den Heever, P. Stier, and A. M. Fridlind

9:00 AM

3.3

Lightning Enhancement over Major Shipping Lanes

Katrina S. Virts, NASA, Huntsville, AL; and J. A. Thornton, R. H. Holzworth, and T. P. Mitchell

9:15 AM

3.4

Lightning and Associated Convection Features in the Presence of Absorbing Aerosols over Northern Alabama

Tong Ren, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and A. D. Rapp, J. R. Mecikalski, and J. Apke

9:30 AM

3.5

Dependence of Aerosol Transport on Meteorological and Surface Properties within Tropical Sea Breeze Convection

Jungmin Minnie Park, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. L. Igel and S. C. van den Heever

9:45 AM

3.6

African and Tropical Western Pacific Deep Convective Impact to the Tropical Lower Stratosphere

Melody Avery, NASA, Hampton, VA; and K. H. Rosenlof, M. R. Schoeberl, K. M. Bedka, D. Painemal, A. E. Dessler, M. A. Vaughan, and B. Getzewich

 

Session 3

The Future of Predictive Services in America: Part I

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation

Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.

8:30 AM

3.1

From Short Fuse Warnings to Long Range Forecasts: The Role of the Meteorologist in America's Weather Industry

Jonathan Porter, AccuWeather, Inc, State College, PA; and M. Moss and D. DePodwin

8:45 AM

3.2

Comprehensive Reimagining of Emergency Alerting

Michael Gerber, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and C. Hodan

9:00 AM

3.3

WPC Pursuing Deeper Stakeholder Engagement for Future Innovation

Kathryn K. Gilbert, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; and G. M. Eosco, L. Girardi, G. W. Carbin, D. R. Novak, M. Klein, and J. Sprague

9:15 AM

3.4

Context-Aware Weather Warning Systems

Brenda J. Philips, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and J. E. Trainor, D. Westbrook, A. Bajaj, and E. J. Lyons

9:30 AM

3.5

Building a Maritime Weather-Ready Nation

Thomas J. Cuff, Ocean Prediction Center, College Park, MD

9:45 AM

3.6

Cultural Implications of Evolving the National Weather Service to Provide Improved Impact-Based Decision Support Services

John E. Ten Hoeve III, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

 

Session 3

Vectorborne Diseases: From Basic Research to Early Warning

Location: Austin Convention Center and Hilton

Host: Ninth Conference on Environment and Health

Cochairs: Andrew Monaghan, NCAR; Mary H. Hayden, NCAR/RAL

8:30 AM

3.1

Climatic Variables and the Persistence in Malaria Morbidity in Mutale Municipality, South Africa: A 19-year Data Analysis

Abiodun Morakinyo Adeola, South African Weather Service, Pretoria, South Africa; and H. Rautenbach and J. O. Botai

8:45 AM

3.2

Meterologically Driven Dengue Fever Simulations in Sonora Mexico

Cory W. Morin, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. J. Monaghan, M. H. Hayden, D. A. Quattrochi, and K. C. Ernst

9:00 AM

3.3

ZikaZoneUSA: An Experience in Climate and Health Product Development

Marjorie McGuirk, CASE Consultants International, Asheville, NC; and B. Lugo and J. Hicks

9:15 AM

3.4

Integrating Environmental Monitoring and Disease Surveillance to Forecast Malaria Epidemics

Michael C. Wimberly, South Dakota State Univ., Brookings, SD; and T. Gebrehiwot, C. L. Merkord, A. Mihretie, D. Nekorchuk, W. Yalew, and G. M. Henebry

9:30 AM

3.5

Climate Variability and Malaria over the Sahel Country of Senegal

Ibrahima Diouf, Cheikh Anta Diop Univ., Dakar, Senegal; and W. M. Thiaw, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, A. Deme, J. A. Ndione, and A. T. Gaye

9:45 AM

Discussion

 

Session 4

Addressing The Audience: Communicating Effectively to Users of Weather and Climate Data and Information

Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Chair: Katy Vincent Matthews, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information

8:30 AM

4.1

What Defines a Severe Thunderstorm? Perceptions from a Cross Section of Residents of the Lower Rio Grande Valley in South Texas 

Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWSFO, Brownsville, TX; and K. Sherman-Morris, J. J. Schroeder, and M. M. Torres

8:45 AM

4.2

What’s a Corridor, and Where Exactly is the Metro Area? Using Regional Geography to Enhance Hazardous Weather Communication

Richard Smith, NOAA/NWSFO, Norman, OK; and K. E. Klockow and R. A. Peppler

9:00 AM

4.3

Stella! Social Media and Affective Content in the Context of a Major Snowstorm

Adam M. Rainear, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and K. A. Lachlan

9:15 AM

4.4

Engaging Stakeholders in Embracing Uncertainty in Climate Projections for Adaptation Planning

Derek H. Rosendahl, South Central Climate Science Center, Norman, OK; and J. Blackband, R. A. McPherson, E. Mullens, and A. M. Wootten

9:30 AM

4.5

Bridging the Boundary: Lessons in Building Climate Adaptation Capacity in Southern California

Alyssa Newton Mann, Univ. of Southern California Sea Grant Program, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Grifman, N. Sadrpour, and J. Finzi Hart

9:45 AM

4.6

How to Get More People to Believe Science Is Not Fake News

Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather Inc., State College, PA

 

Session 4

Atmospheric Composition and Chemistry

Location: Room 4ABC (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Third Symposium on Multi-scale Predictability: Data-model Integration and Uncertainty Quantification for Climate and Earth System Monitoring and Prediction

Chair: Renyi Zhang, Texas A&M Univ.

8:30 AM

4.1

Quantifying the Sources and Sinks of CO2 and CH4 in the Atmosphere (Invited Presentation)

Steven Wofsy, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA

9:00 AM

4.2

Photochemical Models: Assessing Uncertainty and Sensitivity to Model Input (Invited Presentation)

William Brune, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA

9:30 AM

4.3

Constraining Surface Carbon Dioxide Fluxes Using Advanced Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation Techniques (Invited Presentation)

Hans W. Chen, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, T. Lauvaux, K. J. Davis, and R. B. Alley

 

Session 4

Ensemble and Multimodel Forecasting. Part III: S2S

Location: Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics

Chair: Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL

8:30 AM

4.1

Improving the Skill of CFSv2 Seasonal Forecast over Northern South America

Maria C. Angel, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellin, Colombia; and C. D. Hoyos

8:45 AM

4.2

Prediction of Short-Term Climate Extremes Using North American Multimodel Ensemble

Emily Becker, NOAA, College Park, MD; and D. C. Collins and H. van den Dool

9:00 AM

4.3

Potential Forecast of Extremes using a Multimodel Ensemble (MME)

Dan C. Collins, NOAA, College Park, MD; and S. E. Strazzo and E. J. Becker

9:15 AM

4.4

Novel Extended-Range Storm Impact Outlooks for Finland

Terhi K. Laurila, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and O. Hyvärinen, A. Mäkelä, A. Vajda, and H. Gregow

9:30 AM

4.5

Predicting Regime Changes in the Lorenz Model with Ensemble Spread

Erin M. Lynch, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. C. Eure, E. Kalnay, and S. Sharma

9:45 AM

4.6

Understanding the Temporal Variability in Long Time Series of Forecast Ensemble Variance

Justin McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and E. A. Satterfield

 

Session 4

Hurricanes of 2017: Part I

Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2017

Chair: Klaus Wolter, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado

8:30 AM

4.1

Low altitude Coyote UAS missions into Major Hurricane Maria

Joseph J. Cione, NOAA, Miami, FL; and K. Ryan, A. Aksoy, B. A. Dahl, J. Zhang, E. A. Kalina, B. B. Baker, and E. J. Dumas Jr.

8:45 AM

4.2

The role of small-scale vortices in enhancing surface winds and damage in Hurricane Harvey

Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and K. Kosiba

9:00 AM

4.3

New Remote Sensing Technologies to Monitor Tropical Cyclones in Near Real-Time

Chris Vagasky, Vaisala Inc., Louisville, CO; and M. J. Murphy, R. Said, and S. Early

9:15 AM

4.4

A Review of NCEP Model Guidance for Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria

Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and L. C. Dawson, T. A. Dorian, C. Guastini, and A. Mehra

9:30 AM

4.5

The 2017 NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Real-Time Experiments

Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan (gopal), NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. A. Bender, G. J. Alaka Jr., X. Zhang, S. J. Lin, F. Toepfer, and F. D. Marks Jr.

9:45 AM

4.6

The 2017 NOAA Hurricane Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX)

Paul Reasor, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

 

Session 4

Network Design and Accuracy

Location: Room 13AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 19th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation

Chair: Bradley G. Illston, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/Univ. of Oklahoma

8:30 AM

4.1

The Univ. of Utah MesoWest Mesonet

Alexander A. Jacques, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. T. Crosman and J. D. Horel

8:45 AM

4.2

Exploring the Operational Value of High-Resolution 1-Second Sounding Data

Barry R. Bowers, NOAA/NWSFO, Norman, OK; and J. Holmes, R. Barnes, F. Mitchell, and T. T. Lindley

9:00 AM

4.3

Averaging Timescale for Near-Surface Turbulent Vertical Heat and Moisture Fluxes in the Convective Boundary Layer

Song-Lak Kang, Gangneung-Wonju National Univ., Gangneung, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. T. L. Lee

9:15 AM

4.4

Local Siting Impacts on a Mesoscale Network: A Review of NYS Mesonet Site Characteristics and WMO Siting Criteria

Jerald A. Brotzge, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. Bassill, S. Soroka, and J. Wang

9:30 AM

4.5

Transforming a Modern Observations Network

Jonathan P. Taylor, Met Office, Exeter, UK

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4.6

Development of a Prioritisation Framework for the Evolution of the UK Observing Network

 

Session 4

New Methods for Wind Forecasting

Location: Room 15 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Ninth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

Cochairs: Justin Sharp, Sharply Focused LLC; Bradfield Lyon, Columbia University/IRI

8:30 AM

4.1

A Statistical Approach to Forecasting of Seasonal Anomalies in Wind for Renewable Power Production

Fred Schmude, StormGeo, Houston, TX; and K. Larson and J. Basciani

8:45 AM

4.2

Improving the Analog Ensemble Wind Power Forecasts for Rare Events

Stefano Alessandrini, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Delle Monache, S. Sperati, and S. E. Haupt

9:00 AM

4.3

Generating Wind Power Scenarios for Probabilistic Ramp Event Prediction Using Multivariate Statistical Post-Processing

Rochelle Worsnop, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Scheuerer, T. M. Hamill, and J. K. Lundquist

9:15 AM

4.4

Benefits of a Multimodel Ensemble for Hub-Height Wind Prediction in Mountainous Terrain

David M. Siuta, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull

9:30 AM

4.5

2017−18 HRRRv3/RAPv4 Cloud and Wind Modeling/Assimilation Improvements toward Increased Renewable Penetration

Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, J. S. Kenyon, T. Ladwig, E. P. James, C. R. Alexander, M. Hu, J. M. Brown, S. S. Weygandt, and M. Marquis

9:45 AM

4.6

Very Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Using Remote Sensing Data: Experiments with a LIDAR Simulator

Laura Valldecabres Sanmartin, Forwind, Univ. of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany; and G. Steinfeld, L. von Bremen, and M. Kühn

 

Session 4

Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs), Part I

Location: Room 14 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: George R. Halliwell Jr., NOAA/AOML

8:30 AM

4.1

An Observing System Simulation Experiment with a Constellation of Radio Occultation Satellites

Lidia Cucurull, NOAA, Miami, FL; and R. Atlas, R. Li, M. Mueller, and R. Hoffman

8:45 AM

4.2

Geostationary HyperSpectral Sounder (Geo-HSS) Constellation: A Global OSSE Assessment

Sean Casey, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, Miami, FL; and R. Atlas, R. N. Hoffman, L. Cucurull, and A. C. Kren

9:00 AM

4.3

Impact Analysis of LEO Hyperspectral Sensor IFOV Size on the Next-Generation High-Resolution NWP Model Forecast Performance

Agnes Lim, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and A. Huang, J. A. Jung, Z. Li, F. W. Nagle, G. Quinn, J. Woollen, S. B. Healy, J. A. Otkin, M. D. Goldberg, and R. Atlas

9:15 AM

4.4

Characteristics of 3D Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMV) from Water Vapor Feature-Tracking Technique

Hui Su, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. J. Posselt, L. Wu, K. J. Mueller, N. Niamsuwan, F. W. Irion, and T. Pagano

9:30 AM

4.5

NASA’s GMAO Atmospheric Motion Vectors Simulator: Description and Application to the MISTiC Winds Concept

David Carvalho, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. McCarty, R. Errico, and N. Prive

9:45 AM

4.6

An OSSE Investigating a Constellation of 4–5-μm Infrared Sounders

Will McCarty, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Blaisdell, M. Cordero-Fuentes, D. Carvalho, M. Chattopadhyay, R. Errico, R. Gelaro, L. Kouvaris, I. Moradi, S. Pawson, N. Prive, M. Sienkiewicz, and J. Susskind

 

Session 4

Severe Precipitation Detection, Estimation, Forecast and Hydrometeorological Applications

Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology

Cochairs: Youcun Qi, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL; Ming Xue, Univ. of Oklahoma

8:30 AM

4.1

Improving Satellite-Based Rainfall Retrievals By Incorporating High-Resolution Ground Radar Network Observations (Invited Presentation)

Haonan Chen, Colorado State Univ. and NOAA/Earth System Research Lab, Fort Collins, CO; and V. Chandrasekar, R. Cifelli, and P. Xie

8:45 AM

4.2

Forecasting of Warm Season Heavy Precipitation over Continental China at Convection-Permitting Resolutions: Forecast Skills, Spatial Distribution, Propagation, and Diurnal Cycles of Precipitation (Invited Presentation)

Ming Xue, Nanjing Univ., NanJing, China; and K. Zhu

9:00 AM

4.3

Operational Strengths and Challenges for the New Dual-Pol MRMS QPE on a Real-Time System

Stephen B. Cocks, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. Tang, Y. Wang, J. Zhang, A. Ryzhkov, P. Zhang, and K. W. Howard

9:15 AM

4.4

Application of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) to the Bay Area Advanced Quantitative Precipitation Information Project

Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and E. James, J. M. Brown, D. D. Turner, S. G. Benjamin, G. Pratt, V. Chandrasekar, and R. Cifelli

9:30 AM

4.5

Prioritization of Flood Forecasting and Precipitation Monitoring Locations for Vulnerable Communities.

Baxter E. Vieux, Vieux & Associates, Inc., Norman, OK; and J. E. Vieux

9:45 AM

4.6

Hurricane Harvey’s Flooding Across Harris County

Jeffry S. Evans, NOAA/NWS/WFO, Dickinson, TX; and J. Lindner

 

Session 4A

Atmospheric Composition and Modeling—Part I

Location: Room 18CD (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry

Cochairs: Richard S. Eckman, NASA Langley Research Center; Kenneth W. Jucks, NASA Headquarters

8:30 AM

4A.1

Constraining Hydrocarbon Emissions over the Indian Subcontinent Based on HCHO Observations from OMI and GOME-2

Sreelekha Chaliyakunnel, Univ. of Minnesota, St.Paul, MN; and D. B. Millet and K. C. Wells

8:45 AM

4A.2

Exploring Multiple Constraints of Anthropogenic Pollution in Combustion Regions from Current Satellite Retrievals of Atmospheric Composition

Avelino F. Arellano Jr., Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and W. Tang, S. J. Silva, and A. Raman

9:00 AM

4A.3

CO in the Tropical Troposphere: Spatiotemporal Variations and Retrieval Sensitivities from Several Space-Based Sensors

Lucien Froidevaux, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and R. Fuller, J. X. Warner, M. Park, H. M. Worden, and D. E. Kinnison

9:15 AM

4A.4

Evaluation of Surface Ozone Chemistry in Regulatory Air Quality Models through the Use of OMI Observations and Ground-Based Data

Timothy P. Canty, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. M. Ring, M. R. Marvin, S. J. Roberts, L. Hembeck, G. M. Wolfe, R. J. Salawitch, and R. R. Dickerson

9:30 AM

4A.5

Increasing the Societal Impact of Satellite-Based Observations for Air Quality Monitoring: Applications from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI)

Iolanda Ialongo, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and J. Tamminen

9:45 AM

4A.6

Tropospheric NO2 Observations from Airborne Remote Sensors during Discover-AQ: Retrieval and Evaluation

Lok N. Lamsal, USRA, Columbia, MD; and M. Fiollett-Cook, K. E. Pickering, S. Janz, M. Kowalewski, C. P. Loughner, and B. Duncan

 

Session 4A

Convection-Resolving/Eddy-Permitting Climate Modeling

Location: Salon F (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Samson Hagos, PNNL/DOE; Kuan-Man Xu, NASA Langley Research Center

8:30 AM

4A.1

A New Mechanism for Warm-Season Precipitation Response to Global Warming Based on Convection-Permitting Simulations

Aiguo Dai, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. M. Rasmussen, C. Liu, K. Ikeda, and A. F. Prein

8:45 AM

4A.2

Analysis of the MPAS Convective-Permitting Physics Suite in the Tropics

Laura Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Skamarock

9:00 AM

4A.3

Projected Changes over Western Canada Using Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model

Yanping Li, Univ. of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada; and S. Kurkute and L. Chen

9:15 AM

4A.4

The Impacts of Convection-Permitting Resolution on Tropical Convection, Forecast Bias, and Extended Global Prediction Skill

Nicholas Weber, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass

9:30 AM

4A.5

Changes in the Convective Population and Thermodynamic Environments in Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Simulations over the United States

Kristen Lani Rasmussen, Colorado State Univ, Fort Collins, CO; and A. F. Prein, R. M. Rasmussen, K. Ikeda, and C. Liu

9:45 AM

4A.6

Low Cloud Feedback in an Ultraparameterized Global Climate Model with Explicitly Simulated Boundary Layer Turbulence

Christopher S. Bretherton, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and H. Parishani, M. S. Pritchard, M. C. Wyant, and M. F. Khairoutdinov

 

Session 4A

Data in, Information Out: Crowdsourcing and Other Tools for Data Gathering

Location: Room 17A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies

Cochairs: Eugene Burger, NOAA/ERL/PMEL; Tiffany C. Vance, NOAA; Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies

8:30 AM

4A.1

Drought Information Supported by Citizen Scientists (DISCS)

Andrew L. Molthan, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL; and M. Maskey, C. Hain, P. Meyer, U. Nair, C. Handyside, K. D. White, and M. Amin

8:45 AM

4A.2

Low-Cost Crowdsourcing Sensor Package for Drought-Related Decision Making

Chris Phillips, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and U. Nair and C. Handyside

9:00 AM

4A.3

Leveraging Smart Home-Based Meteorological Sensors and Systems

Jay Titlow, WeatherFlow Inc., Poquoson, VA

9:15 AM

4A.4

Using Less Conventional Observations to Identify Model Physics Errors in a CONUS-wide Ensemble

Alexander Gallagher, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. G. Fovell

9:30 AM

4A.5

A New Generation Crowdsourcing Innovative Platform: Climate Intelligent Prediction and Analysis System (CIPAS2.0)

Guofu Wang, BCC, Beijing, China; and P. Shao and C. Sun

9:45 AM

Discussion

 

Session 4B

The ATom Mission—Part I

Location: Room 9 C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry

Cochairs: Michael J. Prather, NASA USRA; Steven Wofsy, Harvard Univ.

8:30 AM

4B.1

The Atmospheric Tomography Experiment (ATom): Photochemistry Controlling Methane and Ozone in the Bulk Troposphere over the Remote Ocean Basins

Michael J. Prather, Univ. of California, Irvine, CA; and A. T. O. M. Team

8:45 AM

4B.2

The Atmospheric Tomography Missions’s Deployments, Flights, Meteorology, and Measurements

Paul A. Newman, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

9:00 AM

4B.3

The Chemical Context of ATom-1: Insights from Satellite Observations and Modeling

S. A. Strode, NASA USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Liu, L. Lait, R. Commane, B. Daube, S. Wofsy, A. Conaty, P. A. Newman, and M. J. Prather

9:15 AM

4B.4

Influences of Air Masses Sampled by the ATom Mission

Eric A. Ray, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

9:30 AM

4B.5

Ozone and Related Trace Gases over the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans: Comparison of Results from the ATom Mission and Model Studies

Eric J. Hintsa, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and F. L. Moore, G. S. Dutton, B. D. Hall, A. McClure-Begley, J. D. Nance, J. W. Elkins, C. Thompson, J. Peischl, T. B. Ryerson, J. Liu, S. A. Strode, A. M. Fiore, and L. T. Murray

9:45 AM

4B.6

Understanding CO in the Most Remote Atmosphere: Direct Emissions and Secondary Chemistry

Roisin Commane, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and B. Daube, H. Bian, A. M. Fiore, N. J. Blake, D. R. Blake, R. Hornbrook, J. Liu, E. A. Marais, S. A. Montzka, L. T. Murray, J. M. Nicely, P. Novelli, M. Parrington, E. A. Ray, S. A. Strode, S. C. Wofsy, and ATom Science Team

 

Session 4B

Weather and Roads—from Observations to Actionable Information, Part I

Location: Room 10AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies

Cochairs: Paul A. Pisano, U.S. Department of Transportation/Federal Highway Administration; Brenda C. Boyce, Booz Allen Hamilton

8:30 AM

4B.1

The Future of Transportation and Weather Needs

Ben Ellis, Jaguar Land Rover North America, LLC, Portland, OR

9:00 AM

4B.2

Testing and Implementation of Mobile Road Condition Information to Serve the Transportation System

Virve Karsisto, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and P. Nurmi

9:15 AM

4B.3

The Truck Blowover Algorithm for the Pikalert® System

Brittany Welch, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. Anderson, S. Linden, and W. Petzke

9:30 AM

4B.4

Elements for Predicting Road Conditions

Brenda C. Boyce, Booz Allen Hamilton, Alexander, AR; and P. A. Pisano and G. Guevara

9:45 AM

4B.5

Scaling and Simplifying Snow Removal Operations without Costly Custom Hardware Implementations

Peter Shashkin, EastBanc Technologies, Washington, DC

 

Session 5

AI Techniques for Numerical Weather Predictions

Location: Room 7 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences

Chair: Surya Karthik Mukkavilli, Univ. of New South Wales/CSIRO Australia/World Energy Meteorology Council UK/GroundObs Ltd.

8:30 AM

5.1

NCAR's Gridded Atmospheric Forecast System (GRAFS)

Sue Ellen Haupt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Gagne II, J. Cowie, S. Linden, G. Wiener, and J. A. Lee

8:45 AM

5.2

Nonlinear Averaging of NCEP Wave Model Ensemble Using an Ensemble of NNs

Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and R. Campos, J. H. G. M. Alves, and S. G. Penny

9:00 AM

5.3

Exploring Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) for NWP and Situational Awareness Applications

Sid A. Boukabara, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and E. Maddy, K. Ide, K. Garrett, E. Jones, K. Kumar, N. Shahroudi, and A. Neiss

9:15 AM

5.4

Automated Detection of Bird Roosts using NEXRAD Radar Data and Convolutional Neural Networks

Carmen Chilson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Avery, A. McGovern, E. Bridge, D. Sheldon, and J. F. Kelly

9:30 AM

5.5

Using Random Forests to Assess Environmental Modulation of Mesocyclone Intensity in the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for Ensembles

Patrick S. Skinner, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin, D. M. Wheatley, K. H. Knopfmeier, and L. J. Wicker

9:45 AM

5.6

Machine Learning with Numerical Weather Prediction Cloud Forecasts for Optical Communications Support

Alexandria M. Russell, Northrop Grumann Corporation, McLean, VA; and B. D. Felton and R. J. Alliss

 

Session 5

Advances in Satellite Observations for Earth Science and Observing Technologies—Part II

Location: 615 AB (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Eighth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations

Cochairs: Martin Yapur, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning, and Analysis/Technology, Planning and Integration for Observations; Thanh Vo Dinh, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning, and Analysis/Technology, Planning and Integration for Observations

8:30 AM

5.1

GOES-16 Geostationary Lightning Mapper Comparison with the Earth Networks Total Lightning Network

Jeff Lapierre, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD

8:45 AM

5.2

Processing Raw Advanced Baseline Imager Data to Level 1b on the Ground

Satya Kalluri, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD; and C. M. Alcala, J. L. Carr, and P. C. Griffith

9:00 AM

5.3

Flying into a New Era of Advanced Satellite Observations: Transitioning GOES-16 Utility for Aviation Forecasting into Aviation Weather Center Operations

Amanda Terborg, CIRA, Kansas City, MO; and B. P. Pett

Jan 10   

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

 

Session 1

Assimilation of Satellite Data to Improve Forecasts of Land Surfaces, Oceans, and Air Quality

Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation

Cochairs: Jeffrey D. Cetola, U.S. Air Force Weather Requirements; James G. Yoe, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation

8:30 AM

1.1

Subdaily Variation in Aerosol Observations and Models, and Impacts of Geostationary Aerosol Data Assimilation

Edward J. Hyer, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. A. Peterson, P. Xian, J. S. Reid, K. C. Kaku, J. Zhang, M. Choi, H. K. Lim, and J. Kim

8:45 AM

1.2

Improved Air Quality Forecasting Using the NASA GEOS-5 Multispecies Data Assimilation System of Tropospheric Constituents

Christoph A. Keller, NASA GMAO/USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and K. Wargan, B. Weir, and S. Pawson

9:00 AM

1.3

Surface Emissivity as an Analysis Variable in GSI

Biljana Orescanin, RTi, College Park, MD; and B. Johnson, A. Collard, and T. Auligne

9:15 AM

1.4

On the Limitations of Variational Bias Correction

Isaac Moradi, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and W. McCarty and R. Gelaro

9:30 AM

1.5

Lagrangian Tracer Prediction Using NCOM and Its 4DVAR Analysis System with Simulated SWOT Observations

Matthew J. Carrier, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and H. E. Ngodock, S. Smith, I. Souopgui, J. J. Osborne, and J. D'Addario

9:45 AM

1.6

Simulation of UV Radiance Using UNL-VRTM

Fuzhong Weng, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and S. Ding and C. Pan

 

Session 1

Water Vapor, Clouds, and Precipitation from Satellite Observations—Part I

Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography

Cochairs: John Forsythe, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.; Michael D. King, University of Colorado

8:30 AM

1.1

Tracking Water Vapor with Multisensor Blended Products for Forecasters

John M. Forsythe, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. Q. Kidder, A. S. Jones, D. Bikos, and E. J. Szoke

8:45 AM

1.2

Multi-Layer Cloud Detection from the MODIS-OMI-PARASOL Fused Dataset

Souichiro Hioki, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and M. D. King, P. Yang, and J. Riedi

9:00 AM

1.3

Lightning Observations from ISS LIS and GOES-R GLM and Applications in Rainfall Estimation

Weixin Xu, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge and R. Adler

9:15 AM

1.4

A Prototype Method for Diagnosing High Ice Water Content Probability Using Satellite Imager Data

Christopher R. Yost, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and K. M. Bedka, P. Minnis, L. Nguyen, J. W. Strapp, R. Palikonda, K. V. Khlopenkov, D. A. Spangenberg, and W. L. Smith Jr.

9:30 AM

1.5

A Passive Microwave Algorithm for Precipitation Detection and Convective/Stratiform Classification (PMW_CLASS): Applications for Rain Retrievals and for Developing the Climatology of the Precipitation Types

Svetla Hristova-Veleva, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and E. K. Seo, Z. S. Haddad, O. O. Sy, and S. Kacimi

9:45 AM

1.6

Seasonal and Inter-Annual Variabilities of the Marine Boundary Layer Height and Cloud Top Entrainment Rates over the Eastern Pacific

Loknath Adhikari, Texas A&M Univ., Corpus Christi, TX; and F. Xie

 

Session 4

Advances in Modeling and Observational Approaches for Heat Health

Location: Room 17B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Ninth Conference on Environment and Health

Cochairs: Jennifer Vanos, Univ. of California, San Diego; Andrew Monaghan, NCAR

8:30 AM

4.1

Using a Daily Homogenized Temperature Product to Assess Long-Term Trends in Extreme Heat Events and Associated Health Impacts in the United States

Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, NC; and J. E. Bell, K. E. Kunkel, S. Herring, and H. Cullen

8:45 AM

4.2

Modelling of Radiation-Based Thermal Stress Indicators for Urban Numerical Weather Prediction

Sylvie Leroyer, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada; and S. Bélair, L. Spacek, and I. Gultepe

9:00 AM

4.3

Quantification of Heat Stress in Cities: Application of Micro-Scale Models (RayMan, SkyHelios)

Andreas Matzarakis, DWD, Freiburg, Germany; and D. Fröhlich

9:15 AM

4.4

Houston Heat-Related Illness and Apparent Temperature

Lance Wood, NOAA, Dickinson, TX; and M. Keehn, M. Huffman, and E. Santos

9:30 AM

4.5

Understanding and Improving Human, Animal, and Environmental Health As a Connected System across NOAA: Connecting Observation, Prediction, and Decision-Makers

Sarah Giltz, NOAA/OAR/Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Trtanj and H. Jones

9:45 AM

Discussion

 

Session 4

Communicating Meteorology and Climate Change

Location: Ballroom B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 46th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology

Chair: Tim Heller, KTRK ABC 13

8:30 AM

4.1

Stargazing Highlights for 2018

J. Kelly Beatty, Sky & Telescope Magazine, Cambridge, MA

8:45 AM

4.2

Crayons to Computers—Reflecting on 40 Years of TV Weathercasting

Mike Nelson, KMGH-TV, Denver, CO

9:00 AM

4.3

When Climate Communication Requires a Security Guard

Kait Parker, The Weather Company, Atlanta, GA

9:15 AM

4.4

Making Weather, Water, and Climate Messages More Memorable, Sharable, and Actionable: Lessons from the Science of Science Communication

Jessica Hubbard, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and E. Maibach

https://ams.confex.com/ams/98Annual/webprogram/images/flag.png

4.5

Climate without Borders, a New Global Network with and from Weather Presenters

9:30 AM

4.5A

The Historic 2016 South Louisiana Flood: Wading through Disaster from a Broadcaster's Perspective

Rob Perillo, KATC-TV, Lafayette, LA

9:45 AM

Discussion

 

Session 6

Effective Tropical Communication Techniques for Improved Preparedness

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation

Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.

8:30 AM

6.1

Communicating Hurricane Risk with Virtual Reality: A Pilot Study

Jase E. Bernhardt, Hofstra Univ., Hempstead, NY

8:45 AM

6.2

Messaging Extreme Winds associated with Major Hurricanes

David W. Sharp, NOAA/National Weather Service, Melbourne, FL

9:00 AM

6.3

CERA: An Interactive Storm Surge Visualization Web Tool

Carola Kaiser, Louisiana State Univ., Baton Rouge, LA

9:15 AM

6.4

Testing Augmented Reality Tools for Communicating Storm Surge and Encouraging Preparedness: A Survey of Texas A&M at Galveston Students

David Retchless, Texas A&M Univ. at Galveston, Galveston, TX

9:30 AM

6.5

A Fiscally Based Scale for Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge

Amanda M. Walker, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and D. W. Titley, M. E. Mann, and R. G. Najjar

9:45 AM

6.6

Building Trusted Partnerships between Media and the National Weather Service to Improve Threat Communication Prior to Hurricane Matthew

Maria M. Torres, NWSFO, Miami, FL; and I. Sans

 

Session 6

Major Scientific Challenges in Space Weather—Part II

Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 15th Conference on Space Weather

Chair: Michael Wiltberger, NCAR

8:30 AM

6.1

Geoelectric Field Maps: Progress on NOAA's Operational Near-Real-Time Geoelectric Field Estimation Capability

Christopher C. Balch, NOAA/NWS/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO; and A. Kelbert, E. J. Rigler, and A. Pulkkinen

8:45 AM

6.2

Solar Atmosphere to Earth's Surface: Long Lead Time dB/dt Predictions with the Space Weather Modeling Framework

Daniel T. Welling, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and W. Manchester, N. P. Savani, M. Jin, I. Sokolov, B. Van der Holst, G. Toth, M. Liemohn, and T. Gombosi

9:00 AM

6.3

Calculating Realistic Voltages across the U.S. Power Grid Utilizing Measured Impedances and Magnetic Fields

Greg Lucas, USGS, Denver, CO; and J. J. Love, A. Kelbert, P. A. Bedrosian, and E. J. Rigler

9:15 AM

6.4

Mitigating Impacts of Space Weather: Advances in Real-Time Prediction of Reactive Power Loss on Power Transformers due to Geomagnetic Disturbances

Adam Schultz, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and L. R. Bonner IV

9:30 AM

6.5

Overview of Science Challenges Hindering Our Understanding of Extreme GICs

Chigomezyo M. Ngwira, Catholic Univ. of America, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Pulkkinen

9:45 AM

6.6

Impact of Interplanetary Shocks and Equatorial dB/dt during Quiet Geomagnetic Activity of 23 December 2014

Farah Adilah Mohd Kasran, Univ. Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, Malaysia

 

Session 6

NOAA Satellite Observing System Architecture Study—Part I

Location: Salon H (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 14th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems

Cochairs: Frank W. Gallagher III, NESDIS; Karen St. Germain, NOAA/NESDIS

8:30 AM

6.1

The NOAA Satellite Observing System Architecture (NSOSA) Study

Karen St. Germain, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. W. Gallagher III and M. W. Maier

8:45 AM

6.2

The EDR Value Model for the NSOSA Decision Process

Mark W. Maier, Aerospace Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and R. A. Anthes

9:00 AM

6.3

Alternative Architectures in the NSOSA Study

Mark W. Maier, Aerospace Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and F. W. Gallagher III and K. St. Germain

9:15 AM

6.4

Enterprise Architecture Trades to Support Future NOAA Satellite Architecture

Georg Contag, DOC, Silver Spring, MD

9:30 AM

6.5

Migration to Commercial Communications for Geostationary Services

Julian Breidenthal, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and R. Cesarone, K. M. Cheung, F. W. Gallagher III, K. St. Germain, and M. W. Maier

9:45 AM

6.6

A Trade Study on Enterprise Algorithm Services

Kathryn Shontz, NOAA, Suitland, MD; and W. W. Wolf

 

Session 6

Outreach and Broader Impacts

Location: Ballroom C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 27th Symposium on Education

Cochairs: Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Morristown-Beard School; Peter Dorofy, Rowan University

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6.1

NASA’s Hidden to Modern Figures: Using real stories to inspire all

8:45 AM

6.2

Changing the Face of Science: Lessons from the 2017 Science-a-Thon

Melissa A. Burt, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. Barnes, R. Licker, and T. Holloway

9:00 AM

6.3

Community Service Learning Projects: Education Process Yielding Benefits before Graduation

Gerald J. Mulvey, Univ. of the Incarnate Word, San Antonio, TX; and L. Tobias and G. Mulvey

9:15 AM

6.4

Is AMS Meeting the Needs of Its Members? Results from the 2014 AMS Survey of Members

Imke Durre, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC

9:30 AM

6.5

Turning Misinformation into Climate Change Education

Nabanita Borah, Research Hall, Fairfax, VA; and J. Cook

9:45 AM

6.6

Balloons, Lasers, and Drones: The Great American Eclipse of 2017 Combining Research and Outreach in Total Darkness

April L. Hiscox, Univ. of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and A. McCombs and S. McGill

 

Session 6

Verification and Validation on the Subseasonal to Seasonal Time Scale to support the National Earth System Prediction Capability

Location: Room 15 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Ninth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

Cochairs: Jessie C. Carman, OAR; David McCarren, Navy/CNMOC

8:30 AM

756

U.S Air Force Weather Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction: Pushing the Limits of Predictability to Optimize National Defense

Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force, Washington, DC

8:42 AM

6.1

Operational Environmental Modeling Across Scales

Hendrik Tolman, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Toepfer

8:54 AM

6.3

NOAA’s Strategy to Improve Operational Subseasonal Prediction for Weather Outlooks

Timothy L. Schneider, NWS/Office of Science and Technology Integration, Boulder, CO; and F. Toepfer, D. DeWitt, V. Tallapragada, H. Tolman, A. Chawla, D. T. Kleist, T. M. Hamill, and J. S. Whitaker

9:06 AM

6.4

NCEP's Next Generation Coupled Forecast System for Subseasonal to Seasonal Scales

Arun Chawla, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and D. T. Kleist, S. Saha, and V. Tallapragada

9:18 AM

6.2

Examining the Impact of Sea Surface Temperature Coupling on Subseasonal Prediction Skill using a Prototype Unified Global Coupled System at NCEP

Christopher Melhauser, NCEP, College Park, MD; and S. Saha, M. Peña, and H. van den Dool

9:30 AM

6.5

Real-Time and Retrospective 3−4-Week Forecasting for the NOAA Subseasonal Experiment with the FIM-HYCOM Coupled Model

Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. Sun, B. Green, G. Grell, and R. Bleck

9:42 AM

6.6

Spatial Approaches to Evaluation of Climate Variability Projections and Predictions

Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. P. Kalb, C. M. Ammann, and R. G. Bullock

 

Session 7

AWIPS System Updates, Part I

Location: Room 17A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies

Moderator: Wendy Sellers, NOAA/NWS

8:30 AM

7.1

AWIPS Program—Status Update

Ronla K. Henry, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. S. Schotz and J. Tatum

8:45 AM

7.2

AWIPS Program—Vision and Strategy

Ronla K. Henry, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. S. Schotz, E. Mandel, and S. Jacobs

9:00 AM

7.3

AWIPS Program—Collaborative Development Panel

Wendy Sellers, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Panel Discussion

 

Session 7

Advances in Evaporation and Evaporative Demand

Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology

Cochairs: Michael Hobbins, CIRES; Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Ashley M. Matheny, Univ. of Texas; Christopher R. Hain, USRA

8:30 AM

7.1

Linking Water Vapor and Carbon Dioxide Fluxes to Quantify Ecosystem-Available Water in Dryland Regions (Invited Presentation)

Russell L. Scott, USDA-ARS Southwest Watershed Research Center, Tucson, AZ

8:45 AM

7.2

Groundwater Dependent Ecosystem Connections to Hydrometeorology and Management in Arid Environments (Invited Presentation)

Justin Huntington, DRI, Reno, NV; and C. Morton, K. McGwire, D. McEvoy, S. Peterson, and K. Snyder

9:00 AM

7.3

Using SMAP Satellite Observations to Estimate Terrestrial Evaporation Rates

Ben Livneh, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and E. E. Small, A. Badger, and R. Abolafia-Rosenzweig

9:15 AM

7.4

Hydrodynamic Model Illuminates the Role and Consequences of Tree Hydraulic Traits

Gil Bohrer, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and G. Mirfenderesgi and A. M. Matheny

9:30 AM

7.5

Attribution of Flux Partitioning Variations between Land Surface Models over the Continental United States

Thomas Holmes, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, and S. V. Kumar

9:45 AM

7.6

Using Field-Scale Evapotranspiration to Study Impacts of Drought and Disturbance on a Forested Landscape in North Carolina, United States

Yun Yang, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, C. Hain, W. P. Kustas, A. Noormets, G. Sun, R. Wynne, V. Thomas, L. Sun, and Y. Yang

 

Session 7

Aerosol–Cloud Interactions in Observations and Models—Part III

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 10th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions

Cochairs: Xiaohong Liu, Univ. of Wyoming; Zhibo Zhang, Univ. of Maryland

8:30 AM

7.1

Aerosol–Radiation–Cloud Interactions over the Southeast Atlantic: Preliminary Results from Recent Aircraft and Surface-Based Measurements (Invited Presentation)

Paquita Zuidema, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Miami, FL; and J. Redemann, R. Wood, J. Haywood, and P. Formenti

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7.2

The Influence of Aerosols on the Characteristics of Low-level Clouds in Southern West Africa

8:45 AM

7.2A

Evaluation of Clouds and Precipitation in the NCEP Global Forecast System in Aerosol Abundant Regions/Seasons

Lei Zhang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Z. Li

9:00 AM

7.3

Correlations between Aerosol and Cloud over Three Northern Industrial Regions and Their Adjacent Oceans

Xiaoyan Ma, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China

9:15 AM

7.4

Boundary Layer Cloud Transitions in North Atlantic: Lagrangian Perspective from Surface and Satellite Observations

Virendra Ghate, ANL, Lemont, IL; and B. Stevens

9:30 AM

7.5

Effects of Aerosol Representation Complexity on Air Quality and Weather Forecasting Skill over South America

Megan Marie Bela, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and G. Pereira, R. Ahmadov, G. Grell, M. Pagowski, K. Y. Wong, L. Zhang, and S. R. Freitas

9:45 AM

7.6

The Relationship between Drought Severity, Precipitation, and Aerosol in California

Jessica Gartzke, Univ. of Hawai‘i at M?noa, Honolulu, HI; and J. Griswold

 

Session 7

Communicating about High Impact Weather: Warnings and Understanding Your Audience

Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Cochairs: Sally Potter, GNS Science; Shannon Panchuk, BoM

8:30 AM

7.1

Ascertaining Global Best Practice for Communicating about High Impact Weather: Activities of the WMO High Impact Weather Programme Communication Task Team

Sally Potter, GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand; and S. Panchuk

8:45 AM

7.2

Expanding the NWS Hazard Simplification Project: An Exploration of Non-Precipitation Products

Castle Adam Williams, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. Sprague, G. M. Eosco, E. Jacks, M. Hawkins, A. T. Pirring, and K. E. Klockow

9:00 AM

7.3

˜Urban Flood" Hazard Notifications in Toronto, Canada: Entangled Creations and the Unintended Implications for Broken Communication and Public Uptake

Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada

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7.4

Public Attention to Extreme Weather: Sense-making on Social Media

9:15 AM

7.4A

Factors Influencing the Usefulness of the NWS Website Radar Display

Kevin D. Ash, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. E. Saunders, J. Collins, and C. H. Paxton

9:30 AM

7.5

Using the Forecaster Interactive Mapping of Vulnerability Exercise (FIMoVE) Tool to Identify Strengths and Gaps in the Continuum of High Impact Weather Communication: Assessing the Knowledge−Communication−Community Network During VORTEX-SE 2015-2017

Jack R. Friedman, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. J. Wagner

9:45 AM

7.6

A Cross-Cultural Examination of the Intersection of Trust in Forecast Information and Response to Warnings: Technological Advancements Have Greatly Enhanced Weather Prediction Capabilities

Terri Adams, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and Y. P. Lyu

 

Session 7

Integrated Instrumentation and Observing Systems for All Applications

Location: Room 13AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 19th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation

Chair: Yvette Richardson, Pennsylvania State Univ.

8:30 AM

7.1

Using R to Promote Data Interoperability in the Atmospheric Science Community

Joshua A. Roberti, National Ecological Observatory Network, Boulder, CO; and R. H. Lee, C. Flagg, and L. Stanish

8:45 AM

7.2

The Army Research Laboratory’s Atmospheric Science Center

David I. Knapp, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and C. M. Hocut, B. T. MacCall, and J. A. Smith

9:00 AM

7.3

Novel Observations of the 2013 El Reno Tornado: Confirming Ground-Up Tornadogenesis through Coupled Rapid-Scan Radar Data and Crowd-Sourced Storm Chaser Videography

Jana B. Houser, Ohio Univ., Athens, OH; and A. Seimon, K. J. Thiem, H. B. Bluestein, S. Talbot, J. C. Snyder, and J. T. Allen

9:15 AM

7.4

WMO Vision for WIGOS in 2040: On Observing Network Design in a Rapidly Changing Business Environment

Lars Peter Riishojgaard, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland

9:30 AM

7.5

Assessment of the Repeatability and Stability of Wind Measurements of More Than 400 Coherent Doppler Lidar Units

Ludovic Thobois, Leosphere, Orsay, France; and P. Mazoyer

 

Session 7

Observing Systems, Part I

Location: Room 14 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: John Manobianco, Mano NanoTechnologies, Inc.

8:30 AM

7.1

Real-Time High-Resolution Radiosonde Data in the U.S.: Current Status and Application to Navy NWP

Patricia M. Pauley, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. P. Tyndall, J. M. Reeves, and R. L. Pauley

8:45 AM

7.2

VIIRS-Based High-Resolution Spectral Vegetation Indices for Quantitative Assessment of Vegetation Health

Wenze Yang, IMSG, College Park, MD; and W. Guo and F. Kogan

9:00 AM

7.3

Salinity Remote Sensing and Results from the Aquarius Satellite Mission

Gary Lagerloef, Earth Space Research, Seattle, WA; and H. Y. Kao

9:15 AM

7.4

Deep Argo: Toward a Truly Global Ocean Observing System

Gregory C. Johnson, PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Lyman and S. G. Purkey

9:30 AM

7.5

Implementation of the GOES-16 GLM Lightning Assimilation into the NCEP/GSI System for Improved Global and Convective-Scale Assimilation and Prediction

Karina Apodaca, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Zupanski, L. Cucurull, and M. Hu

9:45 AM

7.6

Development of a Statewide, Multiuse Surface and Vertical Profiling Network: An Overview of the New York State Mesonet

Jerald A. Brotzge, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft, E. Joseph, N. Bain, J. Wang, N. Bassill, N. Farruggio, J. M. Freedman, K. Hemker Jr., D. Johnston, E. Kane, S. McKim, S. D. Miller, P. Naple, S. Perez, J. Sicker, and S. Soroka

 

Session 7

Regional Air Quality Observations and Modeling—Part I

Location: Room 18CD (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry

Cochairs: Stuart McKeen, NOAA; Kenneth Pickering, Univ. of Maryland

8:30 AM

7.1

Modeling of Meteorology, Chemistry, and Aerosol for the 2017 Utah Winter Fine Particle Study

Stuart A. McKeen, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Angevine, R. Ahmadov, A. Franchin, A. Middlebrook, D. L. Fibiger, E. McDuffie, C. Womack, S. S. Brown, A. Moravek, J. G. Murphy, and M. Trainer

8:45 AM

7.2

Real-Time Wildfire Smoke Prediction in the United States: The HRRR-Smoke Model

Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and R. Ahmadov and G. A. Grell

9:00 AM

7.3

Impact of Thermal Power Industries in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region on the Haze Formation in Beijing Studied by the Two-Way Coupled WRF–CMAQ Model: Assessments of Different Emission Control Policies

Shaocai Yu, Zhejiang Univ., Zhejiang, China; and L. wang, P. Li, K. Mehmood, W. liu, and Z. Li

9:15 AM

7.4

The Relationship between Observed and Modeled AOD and Surface PM10 during an Eastern Mediterranean Dust Event

Burcu Kabatas, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and B. Pierce, A. Unal, M. Rogal, A. L. Lenzen, and T. Schaack

9:30 AM

7.5

Assessment of the Impact of Residential Heating on Istanbul's Air Quality Using a Community Multiscale Air Quality Model

Metin Baykara, Istanbul Technical Univ., Istanbul, Turkey; and A. Unal

9:45 AM

7.6

Evaluation of Chemical Lateral Boundary Conditions from the GEOS-5 Global Chemical Transport Model to the Performance of Operational NAQFC

Zhining Tao, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Tang, H. Bian, D. Tong, L. Pan, P. Lee, B. Baker, L. D. Oman, and I. Stajner

 

Session 8

Considerations and Best Practices for the Transition of Research to Operations

Location: 615 AB (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Eighth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations

Cochairs: Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA/OAR/Office of Weather and Air Quality; Richard A. Fulton, NOAA

8:30 AM

8.1

Ready for the Future: How OSPO Prepared for NOAA's Most Advanced Satellites

Vanessa Griffin, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Leonard, C. Sisko, C. Wheeler, M. Seybold, and K. Feiner

8:45 AM

8.2

What Does a Successful NOAA Testbed Look Like from an Operational Perspective?

William Lapenta, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD

9:00 AM

8.3

Improving Forecast Guidance through the Joint Hurricane Testbed

Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. W. Landsea

9:15 AM

8.4

Best Practices in Weather Research Transition to Operations in NOAA

Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA/OAR/Office of Weather and Air Quality, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Cortinas Jr., R. A. Fulton, and H. Tolman

9:30 AM

8.5

NOAA’s Virtual Laboratory: Strategic Progress in Improving R2O in NOAA

Stephan B. Smith, NOAA/NWS/Office of Science and Technology Integration, Silver Spring, MD

9:45 AM

8.6

Lessons Learned on Transitioning MADIS (Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System) to Operations and Continuing to Provide a Pathway for Research to Operations through MADIS

Leon A. Benjamin, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and G. Pratt, R. L. Cosgrove, and P. Serengulian

 

Session 9

Operational Air Quality Predictions and Prediction Systems

Location: Salon G (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA

Chair: Ivanka Stajner, NOAA

8:30 AM

9.1

Advances in National Air Quality Forecast Capability’s Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Predictions

Ivanka Stajner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. McQueen, P. Lee, A. F. Stein, J. Wilczak, S. Upadhayay, and P. Dickerson

8:45 AM

9.2

Evaluation of NAM Meteorological Predictions for Driving the North American Air Quality Forecasting Capability Predictions

Amanda Sleinkofer, Millersville Univ., Millersville, PA; and J. McQueen, H. C. Huang, J. Huang, R. K. Sakai, B. B. Demoz, J. E. Gonzalez, and Y. Wu

9:00 AM

9.3

A Novel Ensemble Design for Probabilistic Predictions of PM2.5 for the NAQFC

Jared A. Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Kumar, L. Delle Monache, S. Alessandrini, and P. Lee

9:15 AM

9.4

Assimilation of VIIRS AOD to Improve Smoke Forecasts over the Western United States

Mariusz Pagowski, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and R. B. Pierce, G. A. Grell, R. Ahmadov, and S. A. McKeen

9:30 AM

9.5

Air Pollution Forecasts Using the NASA GEOS Model: A Unified Tool from Local to Global Scales

Christoph A. Keller, NASA GMAO/USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and K. E. Knowland, J. E. Nielsen, B. Duncan, M. B. Follette-Cook, J. Liu, J. M. Nicely, C. Orbe, L. Ott, and S. Pawson

9:45 AM

9.6

Impact of Cloud Parameters on NOAA’s NAQFC Surface Ozone Predictions: Evaluations and Sensitivity Studies

Jianping Huang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, and IMSG, College Park, MD; and J. McQueen, P. Lee, L. Pan, H. C. Huang, I. Stanjer, and S. Upadhayay

 

Session 9A

African Climate Variations and Change—Part I

Location: 616 AB (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State Univ.; Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

8:30 AM

9A.1

Inter-Annual Variability and Large-Scale Controls of African Easterly Wave Activity

James O. H. Russell, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. R. Aiyyer

8:45 AM

9A.2

The Interaction Between Cloud Regimes and Easterly Wave Activity over Africa: Convective Transitions and Mechanism

Ademe Mekonnen, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and W. B. Rossow

9:00 AM

9A.3

The Midday Atmospheric Controls on Mesoscale Convective System Intensity in Two Convection-Permitting Regional Atmosphere Models

Rory Gordon John Fitzpatrick, Univ. of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and K. H. Cook, D. J. Parker, C. M. Taylor, and E. K. Vizy

9:15 AM

9A.4

WRF-Simulated Winter Season Sahelian Dust Variabilty (1959–2014)

Gregory S. Jenkins, Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and M. Gueye

9:30 AM

9A.5

Sensitivity of Sahelian Precipitation to North African Dust Aerosol under ENSO Variability: Dynamics, Variability and Feedbacks in NASA Models and Observations

Asha Jordan, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik, A. Gnanadesikan, D. Kim, M. Chin, and H. S. Badr

9:45 AM

9A.6

Impact of remote anthropogenic aerosols on East African rainfall

Claire Scannell, UKMO, Exeter, UK; and B. B. B. Booth

 

Session 9B

Arctic Climate Variability and Change—Part I

Location: Salon F (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Judith Perlwitz, NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division; Patrick Taylor, NASA LaRC

8:30 AM

9B.1

Developing Capabilities for Analysis in the Arctic within the NOAA NWS Local Climate Analysis Tool

Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. E. Churma, F. Horsfall, M. Coulman, and J. C. Meyers

8:45 AM

9B.2

Decomposing Shortwave Radiative Flux Variability in Terms of Surface and Atmospheric Contributions Using CERES Observations

Norman G. Loeb, NASA, Hampton, VA; and H. Wang, S. Kato, and T. Wong

9:00 AM

9B.3

Impact of Inclusion of Realistic Surface Spectral Emissivity in the Global Climate Model on the Simulated Arctic Climate Mean States and Climate Changes

Xianglei Huang, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and X. Chen, M. G. Flanner, P. Yang, D. Feldman, and C. Kuo

9:15 AM

9B.4

Explaining Arctic Amplification: The Critical Role of the Barents–Kara Seas

Patrick C. Taylor, NASA, Hampton, VA; and R. C. Boeke

9:30 AM

9B.5

Temperature Inversions in the Arctic Atmospheric Boundary Layer in the CESM Large Ensemble

Daniel Watkins, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and J. Hutchings

9:45 AM

9B.6

The Global Climatic Response to Projected Transient Sea Ice Loss

Michael Alexander, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and L. Sun

 

Joint Session 35

Flood Prediction, Analysis, High Performance Computing, Decision Support, Management, and Tropical Cyclones, Part I

Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the Fourth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate )

Cochairs: Nick Z. Fang, Univ. of Texas; Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC; Gerry Creager, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL; Benjamin Bass, Rice Univ.; Philip B. Bedient, Rice Univ.

8:30 AM

J35.1

Surfing the Chaos: The 100-Year Flood Myth

Jerry L Cotter, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Fort Worth, TX

8:45 AM

J35.2

How the Flooded Locations and Simulated Hydrographs (FLASH) Dataset Can Be Utilized By River Forecast Centers (RFCs)

Amanda J. Schroeder, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and D. Giardino and G. K. Waller

9:00 AM

J35.3

Rainfall Analysis of Urban Flooding in Houston

Jeff Lindner, Harris County Flood Control District, Houston, TX; and J. Justice

9:15 AM

J35.4

Real-Time Flood Warning System—A Regional Flood Mitigation Tool for Houston, Texas

Andrew Juan, Rice Univ., Houston, TX; and B. Bass and P. B. Bedient

9:30 AM

J35.5

A View of the City of Austin's Common Operating Picture

Baxter E. Vieux, Vieux & Associates, Inc., Norman, OK; and S. Janek, K. McArthur, J. Urquidi, M. Porcher, and J. E. Vieux

9:45 AM

J35.6

Hydrologic Routing Model of the Iowa Flood Center Real-Time Streamflow Forecasting System

Witold F. Krajewski, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and G. R. Ghimire and R. Mantilla

 

Joint Session 36

Statistics and Artificial Intelligence

Location: Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics; and the 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences )

Cochairs: Matthew Peroutka, NOAA/NWS; Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma

8:30 AM

J36.1

The Weather Information Statistical Post-Processing System (WISPS): Project Update

Jason J. Levit, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Peroutka, R. Conroy, E. Engle, and I. Stajner

8:45 AM

J36.2

Probabilistic Forecasting of High-Shear, Low-CAPE Severe Environments in the Southeastern United States

Dianna M. Francisco, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie

9:00 AM

J36.3

Machine Learning Approaches to Reducing Tropical Cyclone Prediction Errors

Michael B. Richman, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, H. A. Ramsay, and P. J. Klotzbach

9:15 AM

J36.4

Automated Products for Forecasting Arctic Blizzard Conditions

William R. Burrows, EC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and C. J. Mooney

9:30 AM

J36.5

A Hierarchical Multivariate Bayesian Approach to Ensemble Model Output Statistics in Atmospheric Prediction

Robert D. T. Wendt, NPS, Monterey, CA; and W. Nuss

9:45 AM

J36.6

An Ordered Hurdle Model for Probabilistic Low-Visibility Nowcasting to Support Decisions at Airports

Philipp Kneringer, Univ. of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria; and S. J. Dietz, G. J. Mayr, and A. Zeileis

 

Joint Session 37

Climate Engineering and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Location: Room 16AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 21st Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; and the 10th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions )

8:30 AM

J37.1

Building Confidence and Reducing Risks with Strategic Geoengineering

Jadwiga H. Richter, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Tilmes, B. Kravitz, D. MacMartin, M. Mills, and I. R. Simpson

8:45 AM

J37.2

Stratospheric Sulfur Geoengineering—Benefits and Risks

Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ

9:00 AM

J37.3

Geoengineering beyond SO2

D. Weisenstein, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. A. Dykema, Z. Dai, C. Golja, F. N. Keutsch, and D. W. Keith

9:15 AM

J37.4

On the Feasibility of Cirrus Cloud Thinning: A Surprising Coincidence

David L. Mitchell, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. Mejia

9:30 AM

J37.5

Cirrus Susceptibility to Changes in Ice Nuclei: Physical Processes, Model Uncertainties, and Measurement Needs

Eric J Jensen, NASA, Moffett Field, CA; and B. Kärcher, R. Ueyama, L. Pfister, T. P. Bui, G. S. Diskin, J. Digangi, S. Woods, R. P. Lawson, K. D. Froyd, and D. Murphy

9:45 AM

J37.6

Solar Experiments with Tropical Cyclone-Permitting GCMs

Gabriel A. Vecchi, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and J. He, L. W. Horowitz, P. Irvine, and D. W. Keith

 

Joint Session 38

Artificial Intelligence and High Performance Computing for Weather Predictions

Location: Room 12B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the Fourth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate )

Cochairs: David John Gagne II, NCAR; Timothy S. Sliwinski, Texas Tech Univ.

8:30 AM

J38.1

The Factors Driving the Development of Machine Learning at the UK Met Office

Vicky Pope, UKMO, Exeter, UK; and C. Ewen, A. Arribas, R. Prudden, and N. Robinson

8:45 AM

J38.2

Opportunities for Machine Learning in Weather Forecasting

Rachel Prudden, Met Office, Exeter, UK; and N. Robinson, A. Arribas, and C. Ewen

9:00 AM

J38.3

Using Deep Learning for Targeted Data Selection: Improving Satellite Observation Utilization for Model Initialization

Yu-Ju Lee, NOAA/ESRL/GSD (CIRES), Boulder, CO; and C. Bonfanti, L. Trailovic, B. J. Etherton, M. W. Govett, and J. Q. Stewart

9:15 AM

J38.4

Improving Satellite Observation Utilization for Model Initialization with Machine Learning: An Introduction and Tackling the “Labeled Dataset” Challenge for Cyclones around the World

Christina Bonfanti, NOAA/ESRL and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and Y. J. Lee, J. Q. Stewart, M. W. Govett, B. J. Etherton, and L. Trailovic

9:30 AM

J38.5

Soil Moisture Forecasting and Hindcasting Using Deep Learning and SMAP Satellite Data

Kuai Fang, Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and C. Shen, D. Kifer, and X. Yang

9:45 AM

J38.6

Precipitation Nowcasting Leveraging Deep Learning and HPC Systems to Optimize the Data Pipeline

Alexander Douglas Heye, Cray, Inc., Seattle, WA; and J. Cain, K. Venkatesan, A. Kommaraju, C. George, and P. Brown

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

 

Session 10B

Arctic Climate Variability and Change—Part II

Location: Salon F (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Judith Perlwitz, NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division; Patrick Taylor, NASA LaRC

10:30 AM

10B.1

Variability in Planetary Wave Activity over the 20th Century

Amanda H. Lynch, Brown Univ., Providence, RI; and A. Zsom

10:45 AM

10B.2

 

Jan 11   

8:30 AM-9:15 AM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

 

Session 7

Physical Evidence of Cloud Seeding Effects and General Weather Modification Aspects—Part I

Location: Room 16AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 21st Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

8:30 AM

7.1

Cloud Seeding Experiments for Precipitation Augmentation with Aircraft In Situ Measurements

Narihiro Orikasa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and M. Murakami, A. Saito, T. Tajiri, Y. Zaizen, A. Ikeda, and K. Yoshida

8:45 AM

7.2

Observational Analysis of Microphysical Characteristics and Cloud Seeding Response of Shallow Cumulus in Southern China

Jing Duan, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and X. Lou

9:00 AM

7.3

Estimating the Global Agricultural Impact of Solar Radiation Management Using Volcanic Eruptions as Natural Experiments

Jonathan N. Proctor, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA; and S. Hsiang, J. Burney, M. Burke, and W. Schlenker

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

 

Session 1

Dave Raymond Named Symposium—Session I

Location: Ballroom C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: David J. Raymond Symposium

Chair: Zeljka Fuchs, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology

8:30 AM

Introduction/Welcoming Word

8:45 AM

1.1

Dave Raymond and the "Elementary Particles" of Atmospheric Convection (Invited Presentation)

Richard Rotunno, NCAR, Boulder, CO

9:00 AM

1.2

Dave Raymond: A Respect for Data as a Challenge to Simplified Theories of Convection (Invited Presentation)

Edward Zipser, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

9:15 AM

1.3

David Raymond’s Work on Tropical Cyclogenesis: The Tropical Experiment in Mexico (TEXMEX), 1992 (Invited Presentation)

Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

 

Session 4A

Observations of Surface and Boundary Layer from Satellites

Location: Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography

Cochairs: Masahiro Hayashi, JMA Meteorological Satellite Center; Paul W. Stackhouse Jr., NASA Langley Research Center

8:30 AM

4A.1

Development of a Surface Radiation Product Using Himawari-8 at JMA

Masahiro Hayashi, JMA Meteorological Satellite Center, Kiyose, Japan; and H. Ishimoto and K. Masuda Sr.

8:45 AM

4A.2

Measuring Snow Depth on Antarctic Sea Ice using Satellite Radar Altimetry

Steven W. Fons, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. T. Kurtz and J. Carton

9:00 AM

4A.3

The NASA/GEWEX SRB Release 4: Long-Term Surface Radiation Budget Using Newly Reprocessed Data Inputs from NOAA and NASA

Paul W. Stackhouse Jr., NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and S. J. Cox, J. C. Mikovitz, and T. Zhang

9:15 AM

4A.4

Satelitte-Derived Ocean Heat Content Variability Estimates: Implications for Weather and Climate Studies

Lynn K. Shay, RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. K. Brewster, E. Maturi, D. Donahue, and E. Leuliette

 

Session 4B

Radio Spectrum Management Role in Meteorology and Hydrology

Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography

Cochairs: David B. Kunkee, The Aerospace Corporation; Changyong Cao, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/Satellite Meteorology and Climatology Division

8:30 AM

4B.1

Aviation and Severe Weather and Water Products, GOES-R Downlinks, and Spectrum Sharing

David G. Lubar, Aerospace Corporation, Colorado Springs, CO

8:45 AM

4B.2

Development of RFI Mitigation Strategy to Enhance Protection of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Radio Occultation (RO) Measurements for Earth Observation

David B. Kunkee, The Aerospace Corporation, El Segundo, CA; and D. G. Lubar, P. H. Kim, and B. Backus

9:00 AM

4B.3

Identifying and Protecting the RF Passive Bands Utilized by Meteorological Satellites from In-Band and Adjacent Band RF Interference Resulting from Increased Spectrum Use by Terrestrial Services

Beau Backus, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

9:15 AM

4B.4

The Frequency Allocations in Remote Sensing Technical Committee of the IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society: Activities and Issues of Relevance to the Meteorological Community

Paolo de Matthaeis, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society; and R. Oliva Balague and Y. Soldo

 

Themed Joint Session 9

Communication of Next-Generation Satellite Information

Location: Room 17A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; and the Sixth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation )

Chair: Randall Bass, FAA

8:30 AM

TJ9.1

NASA MSFC GOES-16 Receiving Station and Data Visualization

Kevin M. McGrath, NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center, Huntsville, AL; and P. Meyer, G. Jedlovec, and E. Berndt

8:45 AM

TJ9.2

Using the Satellite Information Familiarization Tool (SIFT) to Train on New Multi-Spectral Geostationary Satellite Sensors

Scott S. Lindstrom, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. J. Gerth, R. K. Garcia, and D. Hoese

9:00 AM

TJ9.3

GOES-16 Image Service and Applications from NOAA

Daniel P. Pisut, IMSG, Silver Spring, MD; and T. Loomis and V. Goel

9:15 AM

TJ9.4

On-Demand Analytics Products from GOES16 Data: An API to Deliver Webservices, Image Products, and Derivative Products

Amanda O'Connor, Harris Geospatial, Broomfield, CO; and W. Jiang

 

Session 9

Impact-Based Decision Support Services: Climate and Health

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation

Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.

8:30 AM

9.1

Refocusing and Evolving Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Services in NOAA’s National Weather Service

Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Timofeyeva, V. Silva, M. R. Mangan, J. C. Meyers, and J. Zdrojewski

8:45 AM

9.2

Communicating Climate through the NOAA ENSO Blog

Emily J. Becker, NOAA, College Park, MD; and M. L'Heureux and T. DiLiberto

9:00 AM

9.3

The Integrated Information Systems (IIS) Approach to Climate Services: NIDIS and NIHHIS

Hunter M. Jones, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Trtanj, R. S. Pulwarty, and S. Giltz

9:15 AM

9.4

NOAA/NWS Western Region Experimental HeatRisk Project: Providing A New Heat Service for a WRN

Michael J. Staudenmaier Jr., NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and A. Bair, P. Iniguez, M. Mead, B. Rasch, and D. T. Van Cleave

 

Session 9

Observations, Decision-Making and Modeling Capabilities at the Weather, Climate, and Society Interface

Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Chair: Kristie L. Ebi, Univ. of Washington

8:30 AM

9.1

The Evolution of NOAA's Value Model

Louis Cantrell Jr., Profitable Weather, LLC, Fairfax, VA; and D. Helms, R. C. Reining, A. Pratt, B. Priest, and V. Ries

8:45 AM

9.2

When Good Weather Isn’t Good Enough: The O2D (Operations to Decisions) Divide

Peter P. Neilley, The Weather Company, Andover, MA; and J. K. Williams

9:00 AM

9.3

The Changing Landscape of Weather R&D: Where do we go from here?

DaNa L. Carlis, OAR, Washington, DC; and J. Cortinas Jr., K. Robinson, and K. Fornace

9:15 AM

9.4

Recent Applications of NOAA’s Observing System Architecture Analysis Capabilities

David Helms, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning, and Analysis/Technology, Planning and Integration for Observations, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Yapur, L. Cantrell Jr., J. Goldstein, B. Priest, A. Pratt, and V. Ries

 

Session 9

Operational and Financial Considerations in the Energy Sector

Location: Room 15 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Ninth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

Cochairs: Shunondo Basu; Andrew Clifton, National Renewable Energy Laboratory

8:30 AM

9.1

The Dual Function of Financial Market Instruments in an Environment of Climate Change Uncertainty: Protection and Speculation

Harvey Stern, Univ. of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia

8:45 AM

9.2

What is Normal?

Eric E. Wertz, MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates (MDA) Information Systems, LLC, Gaithersburg, MD; and T. Hartman and R. Haas

9:00 AM

9.3

Private Sector Role in Establishing Papua New Guinea’s Climate and Weather Information System

Laura Kuhl, Northeastern Univ., Boston, MA

9:15 AM

9.4

Quantifying Time-Evolving Risk to Electricity Generation Using Climate−Model Statistics: Sensitivity of Business Decisions to Probability Information

Terence R. Thompson, Logistics Management Institute, Tysons, VA

 

Session 10

Aerosol–Cloud Interactions in Shallow Clouds—Part I

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 10th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions

Cochairs: Alison Nugent; Virendra Ghate, ANL

8:30 AM

10.1

Aerosol–Cloud Interactions Observed during the Holistic Interactions of Shallow Clouds, Aerosols, and Land Ecosystems (HI-SCALE) Campaign (Invited Presentation)

Jerome D. Fast, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. K. Berg, D. Bell, B. H. Lee, J. Liu, F. Mei, J. Shilling, J. A. Thornton, J. Tomlinson, J. Wang, and A. Zelenyuk

9:00 AM

10.2

Observations of Aerosol–Cloud Interactions with Varying Vertical Separation between Biomass-Burning Aerosols and Stratocumulus Clouds over the South East Atlantic

Siddhant Gupta, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar, M. Poellot, J. R. O'Brien, D. Delene, and K. L. Thornhill

9:15 AM

10.3

Environmental Controls on the Transition from Shallow Cumulus to Congestus Sampled during MC3E

David B. Mechem, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and S. E. Giangrande

 

Session 10

Data Assimilation: Advances in Methodologies, Part III

Location: Room 14 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Derek J. Posselt, JPL

8:30 AM

10.1

Storm-Scale Weather Analysis and Prediction at the NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory Using a Localized Particle Filter

Jonathan Poterjoy, NOAA, Miami, FL; and L. J. Wicker

8:45 AM

10.2

Impact of Assimilating the CrIS Thermodynamic Information in Cloudy Skies on Hurricane Forecasts

Pei Wang, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Li, Z. Li, J. Li, A. Lim, J. R. Lee, T. J. Schmit, and M. D. Goldberg

9:00 AM

10.3

Assimilation of All-Weather GMI and ATMS Observations into HWRF

Isaac Moradi, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and F. Evans, W. McCarty, F. D. Marks Jr., and P. Eriksson

9:15 AM

10.4

A Further Study of Inner-Core Data Assimilation Using GSI-Based Hybrid System for Hurricane Intensity Predictions: Impacts of HWRF Model Physics and Resolution for Patricia (2015)

Xu Lu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang

 

Session 10

Local and Regional Response in the Water Cycle Due to Urbanization

Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology

Cochairs: Bradford Johnson, Univ. of Georgia; Kristie J. Franz, Iowa State Univ.; Neil Debbage, Univ. of Georgia

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10.1

Urbanization Leads to Changes in the Rainfall Timing: Attribution Experiments Using WRF and Urban Sprawl in Hyderabad, India

8:45 AM

10.2

Spatiotemporal Rainfall Patterns Around Atlanta, Georgia, and Possible Relationships to Urban Land Cover

Jordan T. McLeod, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Chapel Hill, NC; and J. M. Shepherd and C. E. Konrad

9:00 AM

10.3

Hydrological Determinants of Temperature Extremes in Cities

Elie Bou-Zeid, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and J. Yang

9:15 AM

10.4

A WRF Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis of Urbanization on Winter Precipitation Type

Bradford Johnson, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. M. Shepherd

 

Session 10

Radar Technologies and Applications, Part I

Location: Room 17B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies

Cochairs: Mark B. Yeary, Univ. of Oklahoma; Kurt D. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL; Michael J. Istok, NOAA/NWS

8:30 AM

10.1

NOAA's Spectrum Efficient National Surveillance Radar (SENSR) Research Program

Mark E. Weber, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. D. Hondl, M. J. Istok, and R. E. Saffle

8:45 AM

10.2

Development of a Dual Polarization S-Band Phased Array Radar for Meteorological Research

Kurt D. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

9:00 AM

10.3

Sensitivity of Calibration Parameters for Polarimetric Phased Array Weather Radar

Dusan S. Zrnic, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. Mirkovic

9:15 AM

10.4

Raytheon X-Band Polarimetric Phased-Array Radar: Progress Update

David L. Pepyne, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and E. J. Knapp, N. P. Miller, and M. D. Dubois

 

Session 10

Specialized Instrumentation

Location: Room 13AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 19th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation

Chair: Michael Buban, NOAA/OAR/ARL/ATDD

8:30 AM

10.1

Dual-Wavelength Polarimetric Radar Analysis of the 20 May 2013 Moore, OK, Tornado

Alexandra F. Borunda, California State Univ., Fullerton, CA; and C. B. Griffin and D. J. Bodine

8:45 AM

10.2

Site-Specific Solar Power Assessment using In Situ Atmospheric Measurements

Gail Vaucher, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM

https://ams.confex.com/ams/98Annual/webprogram/images/flag.png

10.3

Transmit Beamspoiling for Airborne Phased Array Radar Antenna

9:15 AM

10.4

Using Laboratory Methods under Extreme Conditions to Better Understand Refractory Cloud Formation in Exoplanet Atmospheres

Erika Kohler, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and F. Ferguson

 

Session 10

The ATom Mission—Part IV

Location: Room 18CD (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry

Cochairs: Michael J. Prather, NASA USRA; Steven Wofsy, Harvard Univ.

8:30 AM

10.1

The Behavior of Global Atmospheric Hydroxyl (OH) and Hydroperoxyl (HO2)

William Brune, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and D. O. Miller and A. Thames

8:45 AM

10.2

Observational Constraints on a Potential Source of Secondary Methanol

Michelle Kim, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and J. Crounse, A. P. Teng, E. Asher, A. Hills, R. Hornbrook, E. C. Apel, A. L. Brosius, D. O. Miller, A. Thames, W. Brune, K. Ullman, S. Hall, J. St. Clair, G. M. Wolfe, T. Hanisco, C. Sweeney, K. McKain, J. Peischl, C. Thompson, T. B. Ryerson, R. Commane, B. C. Daube, S. Wofsy, and P. Wennberg

9:00 AM

10.3

Formaldehyde Variability in the Remote Troposphere

G. M. Wolfe, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Liao, J. St. Clair, T. Hanisco, W. Brune, D. O. Miller, A. Thames, C. Thompson, T. B. Ryerson, and J. Peischl

9:15 AM

10.4

Tracking Oxidation during Transport of Trace Gases in Air from the Northern to the Southern Hemisphere

Stephen A Montzka, NOAA ESRL GMD, Boulder, CO; and F. Moore, E. Atlas, D. D. Parrish, B. Miller, C. Sweeney, K. McKain, B. D. Hall, C. Siso, M. Crotwell, E. J. Hintsa, J. W. Elkins, D. R. Blake, B. Barletta, S. Meinardi, T. Claxton, and R. Hossaini

 

Session 10A

Algorithm Development and New Science Innovation—Part I

Location: 410 (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 14th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems

Cochairs: Jaime Daniels, NOAA/NESDIS; Ivan A. Csiszar, NOAA/NESDIS

8:30 AM

10A.1

GOES-R Series Products, Product Enhancements and New Applications

Jamese D. Sims, NOAA, Greenbelt, MD; and W. M. MacKenzie Jr., M. Seybold, and S. J. Goodman

8:45 AM

10A.2

Updates on JPSS-1 and Suomi NPP Operational Algorithms Cal Val and Science Improvements

Lihang Zhou, NOAA STAR, College Park, MD; and M. G. Divakarla, X. Liu, F. Weng, I. Csiszar, A. Layns, and M. Goldberg

9:00 AM

10A.3

Improving Cloud Layer Boundaries from GOES-16

John M. Haynes, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and Y. J. Noh, S. D. Miller, D. T. Lindsey, A. Heidinger, and J. M. Forsythe

9:15 AM

10A.4

Progress toward NASA MODIS and Suomi NPP Cloud Property Data Record Continuity

Steven Platnick, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and K. Meyer, R. Holz, S. A. Ackerman, A. Heidinger, G. Wind, N. Amarasinghe, C. Wang, B. Marchant, and R. Frey

 

Session 10B

Enterprise Ground Architectures and the Research to Operations Process: Tools, Technologies, and Experience

Location: Room 12B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 14th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems

Cochairs: Michael L. Jamilkowski, Col USAF Ret and AMS Fellow; Jonathan Terrell, NOAA/NESDIS

8:30 AM

10B.1

Successful Integration of GOES-16 ABI into the Air Force Weather (AFW) World-Wide Merged Cloud Analysis (WWMCA)

Timothy E. Nobis, Northrop Grumman, Papillion, NE

8:45 AM

10B.2

Migration of GOES-R Level 2 Processing Stream to an Automated Multi-Nodal Cloud Based Environment for Regional Level 2+ Data Processing

T. Scott Zaccheo, AER, Lexington, MA; and E. Steinfelt, C. Oliveira, A. Werbos, and D. Hogan

9:00 AM

10B.3

Ground System Extensibility Considerations

Shawn W. Miller, Raytheon Intelligence, Information and Services, Aurora, CO; and E. Greene

9:15 AM

10B.4

Rethinking Satellite Algorithm Deployments: How to Reduce Time to Operations

Wayne M. MacKenzie Jr., NOAA/NESDIS, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Seybold, R. Williams, T. Feroli, and S. Superczynski

 

Session 11A

Commercial and Institute Activities Enabling the Transition of Research into Operations

Location: 602 (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Eighth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations

Cochairs: Louis Cantrell Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning, and Analysis/Technology, Planning and Integration for Observation; Aaron Pratt, Riverside Technology, Inc.

8:30 AM

11A.1

Public/Private Research Opportunities, They Can Work

Derek Blestrud, Idaho Power, Boise, ID; and S. Parkinson, M. L. Kunkel, R. M. Rauber, B. Geerts, J. R. French, K. Friedrich, R. M. Rasmussen, L. Xue, and S. A. Tessendorf

8:45 AM

11A.2

Development and Evolution of NOAA Observation Portfolio Management Capabilities

Thanh Vo Dinh, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning, and Analysis/Technology, Planning and Integration for Observations, Silver Spring, MD; and M. LaJoie and M. Yapur

9:00 AM

11A.3

Shark Tank! Filling a Communications Gap between Research and Operations

Lisa S. Darby, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and L. P. Rothfusz and B. Perry

9:15 AM

11A.4

The Development of the North Pacific Jet Phase Diagram at NCEP-WPC as an Objective Tool to Characterize the Upper-Tropospheric Flow Pattern

Andrew C. Winters, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and D. Keyser

 

Session 11B

Improving R2O & O2R in Analysis and Nowcast  (0–18-Hour Forecast): Potential of New or Enhanced Capabilities for Meeting U.S. Service Needs—Part I: Introduction & Overviews

Location: 404 (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Eighth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations

Cochairs: Young-Joon Kim, NOAA/NWS; Alan Gerard, NOAA/OAR/NSSL

8:30 AM

11B.1

A Novel Process to Discover and Transition New Capabilities in Analysis and Nowcast (0–18-Hour Forecast) Range for Meeting U.S. Forecast Service Needs

Young-Joon Kim, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. A. Tew

8:45 AM

11B.2

Analysis and Nowcast in an Unified Production Suite of the National Weather Service

Hendrik Tolman, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Toepfer

9:00 AM

11B.3

NCEP Modeling Efforts to Assist with Nowcasting Challenges

Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. R. Carley, J. Du, B. S. Ferrier, M. E. Pyle, E. Rogers, and V. Tallapragada

9:15 AM

11B.4

Overview of National Blend of Models version 3.1. Part 3: Supporting Nowcasting with Hourly Cycles

Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. E. Rudack, R. S. James, J. R. Wiedenfeld, D. T. Myrick, C. Sims, S. Scallion, P. E. Shafer, and M. N. Baker

 

Session 13A

Variability and Change in the Tropical Circulation—Part I: The Hadley Circulation

Location: 616 AB (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Kevin M. Grise, Univ. of Virginia

8:30 AM

13A.1

The Role of Natural Climate Variability in Recent Tropical Expansion

Robert J. Allen, Univ. of California, Riverside, CA

8:45 AM

13A.2

Energetic Perspectives on the Changing Tropical Circulation (Invited Presentation)

Nicole Feldl, Univ. of California, Santa Cruz, CA; and Y. T. Hwang and S. Bordoni

9:00 AM

13A.3

Changes to the Global Mean Meridional Circulation: An Isentropic Perspective

Chris Lucas, BOM, Melbourne, Australia

9:15 AM

13A.4

Tropical and Subtropical Cloud Regimes in MERRA Reanalyses Using an ISCCP Simulator

Justin P. Stachnik, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and C. Schumacher

 

Session 13B

Atmospheric Rivers and Other Extreme Climate Events—Part II

Location: Salon F (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Ruby Leung, PNNL; Laurie S. Huning, Univ. of California

8:30 AM

13B.1

Advancing Atmospheric River Forecasts into Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Time Scales

Cory F. Baggett, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. A. Barnes, E. D. Maloney, and B. D. Mundhenk

8:45 AM

13B.2

The Development of Persistent Atmospheric Rivers

Ashley E. Payne, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and G. Magnusdottir

9:00 AM

13B.3

Mesoscale Observation and Modeling of the Atmospheric River during CalWater2

Sue Chen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Doyle, J. Cummings, P. G. Black, C. W. Fairall, R. Branch, and A. T. Jessup

9:15 AM

13B.4

Verification of NCEP–GFS Ensemble Forecasts of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers during Winter 2016–2017

Jason M. Cordeira, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH

 

Session 13C

Jay Fein's Legacy—Part II

Location: Salon J (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Anjuli S. Bamzai, NSF; Eric DeWeaver, NSF

8:30 AM

13C.1

Carbon Climate Interactions (Invited Presentation)

Inez Fung, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA

9:00 AM

13C.2

Advances in Multi-Scale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes (Invited Presentation)

David Randall, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

 

Joint Session 48

Monsoons of the Americas: Advancing Understanding and Improving Prediction through Observations and Models

Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Illinois; Ben Lintner, Rutgers, State Univ. of New Jersey; Yolande L. Serra, JISAO

8:30 AM

J48.1

An Interhemispheric View of the American Monsoons: Vegetation and Moisture Transport Processes (Invited Talk)

Paola A. Arias, Univ. de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia; and J. A. Martinez, S. C. Vieira, and J. C. Villegas

8:45 AM

J48.2

Seasonal Predictability of Summer Rainfall over South America (Invited Talk)

Rodrigo Bombardi, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and L. Trenary, K. Pegion, B. Cash, T. DelSole, and J. L. Kinter III

9:00 AM

J48.3

The More Extreme Nature of North American Monsoon Precipitation in the Southwestern United States (Invited Presentation)

Christopher L. Castro, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. I. Chang, D. K. Adams, T. Luong, T. M. Lahmers, and C. Ochoa-Moya

9:15 AM

J48.4

"The Paroxysmal Precipitation of the Desert": Flash Floods in the Southwestern United States

James A. Smith, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and M. L. Baeck, J. Signell, L. Yang, E. Morin II, and D. C. Goodrich

 

Joint Session 49

Joint Session with the Committee on Atmospheric Chemistry. Part III: Quantification of Long-Range Transport of Air Pollutants

Location: 412 (Hilton) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; and the 20th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )

Chair: Stefano Alessandrini, NCAR

8:30 AM

J49.1

HTAP2/AeroCom III Modeling and Analysis on Hemispheric Transport of Aerosol

Mian Chin, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Bian, L. Emmons, J. Flemming, D. Henze, J. E. Jonson, T. Kucsera, M. Lund, B. H. Samset, M. Schulz, K. Sudo, T. Takemura, and S. Tilmes

8:45 AM

J49.2

A Multi-Measurement, Multi-Scale Model, Inverse Approach to Constrain the Long-Range Transport of Asian Air Pollution

Jason Blake Cohen, Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and R. lan and C. Lin

9:00 AM

J49.3

Uncertainties in Emissions Estimates of Greenhouse Gases and Air Pollutants in China and India and Their Impacts on Regional Air Quality

Eri Saikawa, Emory Univ., Atlanta, GA; and M. Trail, C. L. Young, M. Zhong, A. Avramov, H. Kim, Q. Wu, G. Janssens-Maenhout, J. I. Kurokawa, Z. Klimont, F. Wagner, V. Naik, L. W. Horowitz, Y. Zhao, A. Nagpure, B. Gurjar, and Q. Zhang

9:15 AM

J49.4

Regional Variation in the Time of Emergence of Air Quality Climate Penalties Under Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios

Daniel Rothenberg, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and F. Garcia-Menendez, E. Monier, S. Solomon, and N. Selin

10:30 AM-11:15 AM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

 

Session

Physical Evidence of Cloud Seeding Effects and General Weather Modification Aspects—Part II

Location: Room 16AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 21st Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

10:30 AM

.1

Artificial Ocean Upwelling on the Israel Shore of the Mediterranean Sea

Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern Univ., Dania Beach, FL; and C. W. Dean, E. Golbraikh, and I. Gertman

10:45 AM

.2

Classification and Vertical Structure of Radar Precipitation Echoes at Naqu in the Central Tibetan Plateau during the TIPEX-III Field Campaign

Yali Luo, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and H. Wang, R. Ma, E. Zipser, and C. Liu

11:00 AM

.3

Models, Modeling, and Fables: A Solar Geoengineering Example

Juan Moreno-Cruz, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

 

Session 1

Successes, Opportunities, and Challenges in Weather, Water, and Climate-Related Communication across National Borders—Communications in Multilateral Cooperation with Special Focus on Weather Ready Nations Implementation

Location: Ballroom B (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Third Symposium on Special Sessions on US-International Partnerships

Chair: Renee A. Leduc Clarke, Narayan Strategy

10:30 AM

1.1

Weather Ready Nations: International Implementation

Daniel P. Beardsley, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Tokar

10:45 AM

1.2

Future Seamless Data-Processing and Forecasting System: Improving Nations' Readiness through Continuous Global Science and Technology Advancements

Michel Jean, CMC, Dorval, Canada

11:00 AM

1.3

Climate Services Information System Activities in Support of the Global Framework for Climate Services Implementation

Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. S. Pulwarty, A. Klein-Tank, R. K. Kolli, P. Hechler, M. Dilley, J. P. Ceron, and C. Goodess

11:15 AM

1.4

17 Years of Interactions between NOAA and the WMO VLab Members in Regions III and IV to Ensure Satellite Usage through Training

Bernadette H. Connell, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and K. A. Caesar, M. Garbanzo, D. Souza, N. Rudorff, and M. Campos

11:30 AM

1.5

Iberoamerican Cooperation on Weather, Water, and Climate

Jorge Tamayo, State Meteorological Agency, Madrid, Spain

 

Session 2

Dave Raymond Named Symposium—Session II

Location: Ballroom C (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: David J. Raymond Symposium

Chair: George Kiladis, OAR

10:30 AM

2.1

David Raymond’s Insights into the ITCZ (Invited Presentation)

Chidong Zhang, PMEL, Seattle, WA

10:45 AM

2.2

The Generation of Global Kinetic Energy in Tropical Cyclones Revisited (Invited Presentation)

Roger K. Smith, Ludwig Maximilian Univ., Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery and G. Kilroy

11:00 AM

2.3

Dave Raymond's Leadership and Contributions to Tropical Cyclogenesis Research during the TCS08, PREDICT, and HS3 Field Experiments. (Invited Presentation)

Michael T. Montgomery, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA

11:15 AM

2.4

Ship-Based Polarimetric Radar Observations of Convection on the Eastern Pacific ITCZ (Invited Presentation)

Steven Rutledge, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. Fuchs, F. Junyent, J. George, and V. Chandrasekar

11:30 AM

2.5

Assessing the Vertical Latent Heating Structure of the East Pacific ITCZ Using CloudSat CPR and TRMM PR

Lidia Huaman, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and C. Schumacher

11:45 AM

2.6

Development of a One-Month-Long, Westward-Propagating Subtropical Low in Boreal Summer (Invited Presentation)

John E. Molinari, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

 

Session 5

Satellite Studies of Severe Weather Events

Location: Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography

Cochairs: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Chris S. Velden, Univ. of Wisconsin

10:30 AM

5.1

The Above-Anvil Cirrus Plume Signature: The Most Definitive Indicator of a Severe Deep Convective Storm within Visible and Infrared Satellite Imagery

Kristopher M. Bedka, LRC, Hampton, VA; and E. M. Murillo, C. R. Homeyer, T. Sandmael, and H. Mersiovsky

10:45 AM

5.2

Using Satellite Data for Studying Storm Top Dynamical Processes: A Review of Recent Findings

Pao K. Wang, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. Y. Cheng

11:00 AM

5.3

Using Satellite Observations to Assess Environmental Variability in Proximity to Supercells and Their Likelihood for Tornadogenesis

Brian H. Kahn, JPL, La Cañada Flintridge, CA; and P. M. Kalmus, S. W. Freeman, and S. van den Heever

11:15 AM

5.4

Thermodynamic Environmental Conditions Leading to Tornadogenesis

Sean W. Freeman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. C. van den Heever, B. H. Kahn, and P. M. Kalmus

11:30 AM

5.5

Exploring the Key Features of Tropical Cyclogenesis Using Satellite Data

Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL

11:45 AM

5.6

Using GOES-16 to Improve Short-Term Forecasts

Kyle Hilburn, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Marchand, Y. Lee, C. Kummerow, and C. Alexander

 

Session 10

Creating a Weather-Ready Nation "For All"

Location: Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: Sixth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation

Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.

10:30 AM

10.1

How Urban Economically Disadvantaged People Receive Weather Information in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Timothy J. Halbach, NWS, Dousman, WI; and D. Peroff

10:45 AM

10.2

The Multimedia Assistance in Spanish (MAS) Program

Orlando Bermudez, NOAA/NWS, New Braunfels, TX; and J. W. Zeitler

11:00 AM

10.3

National Weather Service MAS Team: Providing Services to Spanish Speaking Communities During High Impact Events

Maria M. Torres, NWSFO, Miami, FL

11:15 AM

10.4

A Culture of Clouds: Translating Meteorology into the Navajo Language

Natalie Elizabeth Panasiak, Univ. of North Carolina, Wilmington, NC; and V. Allen and A. L. Merriman

11:30 AM

10.5

Exploring Differences in Weather Knowledge and Perceptions in Autistic and Non-Autistic Individuals

Matthew J. Bolton, Saint Leo Univ., Saint Leo, FL; and W. G. Blumberg, H. M. Mogil, and L. K. Ault

 

Session 10

Policy and Decision-Making at the Weather, Climate, and Society Interface

Location: Ballroom F (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Chair: Jessica C. Whitehead, North Carolina State Univ.

10:30 AM

10.1

Urgency in the Anthropocene

Amanda H. Lynch, Brown Univ., Providence, RI; and S. Veland

10:45 AM

10.2

Paris Climate Agreement: Impact of the United States Withdrawal

Walter Tribett, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. J. Salawitch, A. Hope, L. McBride, B. Bennett, and T. Canty

11:00 AM

10.3

The Range and Choice of Responses in Addressing Environmental Problems

Johnny Wei-Bing Lin, Univ. of Washington, Bothell, WA

11:15 AM

10.4

Using Public and Stakeholder Perceptions of Drone Technology to Influence Design and Implementation of Drones for Atmospheric Data Collection

Janell Walther, Univ. of Nebraska Public Policy Center, Lincoln, NE; and L. PytlikZillig, A. Houston, C. Detweiler, and J. Kawamoto

11:30 AM

10.5

Understanding the Role of Trust in Public Support for Weather (and Other) Drones: Results of a Nationally Representative U.S. Survey

Lisa PytlikZillig, Univ. of Nebraska Public Policy Center, Lincoln, NE; and A. Houston, J. Walther, J. Kawamoto, and C. Detweiler

11:45 AM

10.6

Adaptation Planning in the Town of Nags Head, NC: From Communication, to Co-Production, to Funded Actions

Jessica C. Whitehead, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and H. White, C. R. Kamrath, and L. Schiavinato

 

Session 11

Aerosol–Cloud Interactions in Shallow Clouds—Part II

Location: Room 12A (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 10th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions

Cochairs: Alison Nugent; Virendra Ghate, ANL

10:30 AM

11.1

Radiative Impact of Aerosol–Cloud Interactions: Comparison between Models and Observations (Invited Presentation)

Frida Bender, Stockholm Univ., Stockholm, Sweden

11:00 AM

11.2

Volcanic Aerosol Effects from Hawaii's Kilauea Volcano

Kayla K. Yamamoto, Univ. of Hawai‘i at M?noa, Honolulu, HI; and J. D. S. Griswold, A. Pattantyus, and A. Gettelman

11:15 AM

11.3

Toward Elucidating the Role of Daytime Aerosol–Cloud Interactions in the Diurnal Cycle of Orographic Rainfall

Yajuan Duan, Duke Univ., Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros

11:30 AM

11.4

Aerosol Impact on Warm Rain Initiation in Turbulence Using Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS)

Sisi Chen, McGill Univ., Montreal, Canada; and L. Xue, M. K. Yau, and P. Bartello

11:45 AM

11.5

The Dependence of Aerosol–Cloud Indirect Effects on the Representation of the Autoconversion Process in CESM: Formulation and Sensitivity Experiments

Cecile Hannay, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Gettelman, J. T. Bacmeister, J. F. Lamarque, R. B. Neale, S. Ghan, L. Donner, R. Wood, V. E. Larson, and P. Caldwell

 

Session 11

Data Assimilation: Advances in Methodologies, Part IV

Location: Room 14 (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Isaac Moradi, NASA

10:30 AM

11.1

Four-Dimensional Variational Atmospheric Data Assimilation for COAMPS

Clark M. Amerault, NRL, Monterey, CA; and L. Xu

10:45 AM

11.2

Recent Development and Research of GSI-Based Hybrid Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation for Convective-Scale Predictions

Xuguang Wang, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Wang, J. D. Duda, J. Carley, and D. C. Dowell

11:00 AM

11.3

Development of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble (HRRRE)

Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell, T. Ladwig, M. Hu, J. Beck, I. Jankov, T. Alcott, B. D. Jamison, J. Brown, S. Weygandt, and S. Benjamin

11:15 AM

11.4

Implementation of a Data Assimilation System in Conjunction with the New York State Mesonet

Nick Bassill, New York State Mesonet, Albany, NY; and J. A. Brotzge and R. Torn

11:30 AM

11.5

Implementing and Testing of a Lognormal-Based Humidity Control Variable for the NCEP GSI Hybrid EnVAR Assimilation Scheme

Steven J. Fletcher, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and K. Apodaca

11:45 AM

11.6

Implementing Non-Gaussian Background Error Statistics for Humidity and Hydrometeor Control Variables in the Hybrid GSI System for Improved Convective-Scale Assimilation and Prediction

Karina Apodaca, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. J. Fletcher, S. Weygandt, and H. Lin

 

Session 11

Field Projects I

Location: Room 13AB (ACC) (Austin Convention Center and Hilton )

Host: 19th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation

Chair: Sytske Kimball, Univ. of South Alabama

10:30 AM

11.1

Evaluation of In Situ Sensors: How the NWS Has Moved Forward

Ryan Brown, CyberData Technologies, Herndon, VA; and G. Kochanowicz, E. Keeler, M. K. Lataille, and J. M. Dover

10:45 AM

11.2

Studying Vortex-SE Weather Events By Comparing a Scale-Aware PBL Scheme in the HRRR Model at Varying Resolutions to Observations

Jason M. English, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. D. Turner, J. B. Olson, and J. S. Kenyon

11:00 AM

11.3

ICICLE: Winter 2018–19 In-Cloud Icing and

Keynote Speakers

Kerry H. Cook

Univ. of Texas

Erik R. Nielsen

Colorado State University

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